Ukuhamba kunye noKhenketho e-Asia-Pacific: Isitshixo sokuBuyisa uQoqosho

Ukusuka kwizixeko eziphithizelayo ukuya kwiindawo zolwandle ezolileyo, impembelelo yolu shishino ayinakuphikiswa, nto leyo eyenza ukuba ibe ngumba oshushu wengxoxo phakathi kweengcali kunye nabaphulaphuli ngokubanzi ngokufanayo. Ke, bhinqa amabhanti ezihlalo zakho kwaye uzibandakanye nathi njengoko singena kwihlabathi elinomdla lokuHamba kunye noKhenketho kunye namandla alo amakhulu okuqhuba ukukhula koqoqosho kwingingqi yeAsia-Pacific.

Eyona nto iphambili ekuthathweni kweshishini lokhenketho laseAsia-Pacific kukuba imeko yezoqoqosho yasemva kwe-Covid isebuthathaka. Ukuhamba kunye nokhenketho kunokuba yinxalenye enkulu yesisombululo, kodwa ngaphandle kokuphazamiseka kwangaphandle. Le nto yokuthatha iphakamisa ukubaluleka okubalulekileyo kwe-Thai Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin's Ignite Thailand Vision Strategy kwaye igxininisa ukubaluleka kokugcina nokukhusela uxolo kunye nozinzo kuyo yonke indawo yokusebenza-kwentlalo, uqoqosho, i-geopolitical, indawo, ingingqi, kunye nehlabathi jikelele.

Ngokwenene, uhlalutyo olusondeleyo lubonisa ukuba icandelo lokuHamba kunye noKhenketho oluhlaziyiweyo lunokukhawulezisa ukubuyiswa ngokunceda ukunciphisa umthwalo wamatyala elizwe, ukwandisa isiseko serhafu, ukuqokelela ugcino, ukudala imisebenzi yabasetyhini kunye nabemi abadala, ukujongana nokutshintsha kwemozulu, kunye nokuququzelela inguqu yedijithali. Ivula ithuba elicacileyo lokuphonononga ubume berhafu boHambo noKhenketho, ishishini elityebileyo ngemali, ingakumbi amaqumrhu ezizwe ngezizwe kunye neenjini zokubhukisha.

Ingxelo ithi, "Urhwebo lweenkonzo zehlabathi, ngakumbi kwezokhenketho, lubone ukunyuka ngokuqhubekayo kuthintelo lobhubhane kuhambo. Ukuchacha kwezoKhenketho kuye kwaqina ngo-2023, abafikayo kwingingqi ye-Asia-Pacific benyuka ngokomndilili ukuya malunga neepesenti ezingama-62 zamanqanaba angaphambi kobhubhane. Abakhenkethi abafikayo banyukele kumanqanaba angaphambi kobhubhane eArmenia, eFiji, eGeorgia, eKyrgyzstan, eMaldives, eTürkiye naseUzbekistan.

Kumazwe axhomekeke kukhenketho kuMzantsi-mpuma weAsia, ukubuya kwabafikayo kufikelele malunga neepesenti ezingama-70 kwinqanaba langaphambi kobhubhane.

KwiPasifiki, ukhenketho lube ngumqhubi obalulekileyo wokukhula kwe-GDP, ngakumbi kwiZiqithi zaseCook, eFiji, ePalau naseSamoa. ”

Ethetha ngokusungulwa kwiKlabhu yeeNgqungquthela zamazwe angaphandle eThailand, uNobhala weSigqeba se-UNESCAP uNksz Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana uthe: Ushicilelo lwe-2024 lwe-Economic and Social Survey yase-Asia kunye ne-Pacific lubonisa umfanekiso oxubileyo wezoqoqosho zommandla. Ngelixa bekukho ukunyuka komndilili wokuhluma koqoqosho ngo-2023 kwaye kuqikelelwa ukukhula okuzinzileyo ngo-2024 no-2025, okubonisa ukomelela koqoqosho lwengingqi, ukubuyela kwakhona bekungalingani kwaye kunqunyelwe kuqoqosho olukhulu olumbalwa. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu kunye namazinga enzala, imfuno ebuthathaka yangaphandle, kunye nokungaqiniseki okuphakamileyo kwelizwe lezopolitiko kubeka ithunzi kwithemba loqoqosho elikufuphi. Ngaphezu koko, nangona uqoqosho lukhula ngokuthe ngcembe, imiba esisiseko ikho, enjengokudalwa kwemisebenzi ephantsi, amandla okuthenga abuthathaka, nokwanda kwentlupheko nokungalingani kwezentlalo noqoqosho kummandla wonke.”

Olona gxininiso lwengxelo yalo nyaka lixabiso lokuboleka kunye nokukhula kwamatyala anzima kuqoqosho lwase-Asia Pacific ngenxa yomthwalo wamatyala odalwe yintlekele ye-COVID-19. Abaphathi beESCAP babelane ngolu lwazi lulandelayo:

Itotali yamatyala angaphandle amatyala ekuphuhliseni i-Asia-Pacific ngo-2022 iphelele kwi-5.4 yeetriliyoni zeedola (Ngokusekelwe kwiBhanki yeHlabathi, i-WDI, ifikeleleke ku-Aprili ka-2024).

Itotali yamatyala angaphandle oluntu ekuphuhliseni i-Asia-Pacific ngo-2022 ifikelele kwi-1.7 yetriliyoni yeedola (Ngokusekwe kwiBhanki yeHlabathi, i-WDI, ifikelele ku-Epreli ka-2024).

Ityala likarhulumente lilonke lokuphuhlisa i-Asia-Pacific lafikelela kwi-17.3 yeetriliyoni zeedola ngo-2022 kwaye liqikelelwa kwi-20.5 yeetriliyoni zeedola ngo-2023 (Ngokusekelwe kwi-IMF Fiscal Monitor, ngo-Oktobha 2023).

Kwintshayelelo enamandla yale ngxelo, uNobhala-Jikelele weZizwe Ezimanyeneyo u-Antonio Guterres uthi, “Oorhulumente bamazwe asakhasayo kulo lonke elaseAsiya nakwiPasifiki bangamaxhoba okungabikho kokusesikweni, okuphelelwe lixesha nokungasebenzi kakuhle kwezemali zehlabathi. Bajongene nemiqobo yezemali, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuboleka kunye nokukhula okufutshane, kunye nomthwalo onzima wamatyala. Ukuya kuthi ga kwisiqingatha samazwe anengeniso ephantsi kulo mmandla sele ephakathi, okanye esemngciphekweni omkhulu woxinezeleko lwamatyala, kunyanzeleke ukuba akhethe phakathi kokuhlawula ityala okanye ukutyala imali kwimfundo, impilo nokhuseleko lwentlalo yabantu babo.”

Ukujongana noku, ingxelo icebisa indlela entlantlu-ntathu:

1. Abaxhasi kufuneka bahloniphe izibophelelo zabo ezidluleyo kwaye badibanise izabelo kunye neemfuno: Uncedo lophuhliso olusemthethweni ngo-2022 lufikelele kwisiqingatha kuphela sokuzinikela okwenziwe ukususela ngo-1970. abo baneminqweno yezopolitiko ekwabelwana ngayo.

2. Ukujongana nemithombo yobutyebi engasetyenziswanga kakuhle kunye namandla ebhanki zophuhliso lwamazwe ngamazwe: Ukufakwa kwenkunzi entsha kwiibhanki zophuhliso ezinamazwe ngamazwe zifuneka ngokukhawuleza ukuhlangabezana neemfuno ezikhulayo zophuhliso lwamazwe asaphuhlayo. Okwangoku, iibhanki zinokusebenzisa ngcono imali yazo esele zikho, zandise ukubolekisa ngemali yasekhaya, zinciphise umthwalo wolawulo lweepakeji zemboleko-mali, kwaye zisebenze ngokusondeleyo omnye komnye ukukhulisa amandla abo okuboleka ngokudibeneyo.

3. Ngokubhekiselele kuphuhliso olulungelelaniswe ngakumbi kunye nexesha elide lokureyithwa kwamatyala: Ii-arhente zamaxabiso kufuneka zibandakanye iimpembelelo zexesha elide ezinokubakho zokutshintsha kwamanani abantu kunye nobungozi bemozulu kumngcipheko omkhulu kuvavanyo lwabo kwaye baqonde ukuba utyalo-mali lukarhulumente kuphuhliso oluzinzileyo luphakamisa ukufaneleka kwetyala ngaphezulu. ixesha. Ngeli xesha, imibono yokuseka i-arhente yokulinganisa ngetyala yengingqi eqonda ngcono imeko yophuhliso lwase-Asiya kunye nePasifiki inokuphononongwa. I-ESCAP inokuququzelela ukwabelana ngamava kulo mba.

Ngelixa ujongene nale meko ingazinzanga kunye neyomanzi, le ngxelo ibonisa ii-megatrends ezintathu ezihlengahlengisa uqoqosho, eziphembelela ngokuthe ngqo izibonelelo zezemali kunye nokuziphatha komgaqo-nkqubo wemali, kunye nokubonisa imingcipheko kunye namathuba.

1. Ukuguga kwabemi: Ukuhla kwabasebenzi kunye nemveliso ephantsi phakathi kwabasebenzi abadala kunokuthintela ukuqokelelwa kwerhafu. Iimfuno zezimali zokhathalelo lwempilo yobudala, ukukhuselwa kwezentlalo, kunye nokufunda ubomi bonke ziya kuphakama. Umgaqo-nkqubo wezemali nawo usenokungasebenzi kakuhle, njengoko ukusetyenziswa kwabantu abadala kungasabela kangako kwinkuthazo yemali.

2. Ukutshintsha kwemozulu kunye nokuthotywa kokusingqongileyo: Ingeniso yemali iya kukhukuliswa ngenxa yokunqongophala kwamandla emveliso phakathi kokunqongophala kwemithombo yendalo kunye nabasebenzi abangenamveliso. Inkcitho yemali enobungakanani iya kufuneka ukwakha uqoqosho lwasemva kwentlekele kunye nokutyala imali kuphuhliso lohlaza. Ukutshintsha kwemozulu kunganyusa izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso, ngoko izinga lenzala kunye neendleko zokuboleka kurhulumente, ngokunciphisa izivuno zezityalo kunye nokususwa kwenkxaso yepetroli.

3. Itekhnoloji kunye nedijithali zenza zombini iingozi kunye namathuba. Amazwe aneenkqubo zerhafu zemveli ezisekelwe ekubambeni kunye nendawo ebonakalayo yeempahla kunye neenkonzo afumanisa kunzima ukurhafisa uqoqosho olukhulayo lwedijithali. Nangona kunjalo, izixhobo zedijithali zinokunceda ukwandisa ukusebenza kakuhle kunye nokusebenza kakuhle kweenkqubo zolawulo lwezimali zoluntu, ezifana nokuthengwa kwempahla ngekhompyutha kunye nokufakwa kwembuyekezo yerhafu.

Eyona nto iphambili kukuba i-Covid-19 inokuba iphelile, kodwa uninzi lweengozi ezintsha ziselundini kwaye ziya ziba mandundu. IAsia-Pasifiki, owona mmandla unabemi abaninzi ehlabathini, ifuna ubuncinci iminyaka elishumi yoxolo nozinzo ukuze igcine ichache. Ukulawula ungquzulwano lwangaphakathi kunye nokuzikhusela ekuweni kongquzulwano lwangaphandle kubaluleke kakhulu ekukhuleni, okunokuthi ngenye indlela ibethe i-skids kwisekondi esahluliwe.

Ingxelo ye-ESCAP ibonelela ngoluhlu lokuhlola olubanzi lwezemali apho amaqhinga okuHamba kunye nokhenketho anokwenziwa kwaye ahlengahlengiswe ukomeleza ukuchacha ngokupheleleyo, ngakumbi kumazwe amaninzi axhomekeke kukhenketho. Ikwayindawo eluncedo yereferensi yemibutho yokhenketho yengingqi efana ne-PATA kunye ne-ASEANTA kunye neeyunithi zokhenketho zamaqumrhu angaphantsi kommandla afana ne-BIMST-EC, i-GMS, kunye ne-IMT-GT ukuxhasa uhambo lwangaphakathi kwingingqi.

Cofa apha ukuze ufumane iinkcukacha ezingaphezulu.

SOURCE: Travel Impact Newswire