Kwiinyanga ezisibhozo zokuqala ze-2019 (Jan-Aug), Ukuhamba kwamanye amazwe bezi-4.9% ukuya kwixesha elilinganayo kunyaka ophelileyo. Okuqinisekileyo nangakumbi, ukubhukisha uhambo kwezi nyanga zintathu zilandelayo (Sep-Nov-Nov) kungoku nje nge-7.6% ngaphambili kwalapho babekho ekupheleni kuka-Agasti 2018.
Ingxelo ekhethekileyo, ebekelwe ixesha lokungqamana noSuku lwezoKhenketho lweHlabathi, iveze ukuba ukuhamba ngenqwelomoya kwilizwe lonke kuyanda. Iveliswe ngu ForwardKeys, eqikelela uhambo elizayo iipateni ngokuhlalutya ukuxuba okungenakuthelekiswa nanto kwedatha yokuhamba, kubandakanya ngaphezulu kwezigidi ezingama-24 zokukhangela kwenqwelomoya kunye nokuthengiselana kokubhukisha ngosuku.
U-Olivier Ponti, i-VP Insights, ForwardKeys, uthe: "U-2019 ubukho, kwaye uzimisele ukuba ungomnye unyaka obalaseleyo wokuhamba nokhenketho kwihlabathi liphela. Ziindaba ezimnandi ezo kuba ukhenketho kunye nokhenketho ngumqhubi obaluleke ngakumbi kwingeniso yokuthumela ngaphandle kunye nokuchuma ngokubanzi, kwihlabathi liphela. Into endiyifumanisa ibaluleke kakhulu kukomelela komzi mveliso xa ujongene neziganeko ezinokubakho ezimbi ezinje ngeBrexit, imfazwe yase-China yase-US kunye nezidubedube zezopolitiko e-Hong Kong nase-Middle East.
I-ForwardKeys inika ingxelo evumayo kukukhula okuzinzileyo koqoqosho kwihlabathi liphela, amaxabiso aphakathi e-oyile kunye nohlaziyo lwemithetho yevisa. Kuwo wonke lo nyaka, i-IMF iqikelele ukukhula emhlabeni jikelele ngo-2019 kungaphezulu kwe-3%. Iinqwelo-moya ziye zaphendula ngokwandisa amandla, ngakumbi phakathi kweAfrika noMntla Melika, inyuke nge-17.9%. Ngaphandle kohlaselo lwamva nje lwezixhobo zokulungisa zaseSaudi, ixabiso leoyile lisephantsi kwencopho yalo nyaka kwaye lingaphantsi kakhulu kwincopho ngo-2018. Ixabiso leoyile elisezantsi liluncedo kuqoqosho lwehlabathi xa lilonke, kodwa izibonelelo zokuhamba ngenqwelomoya ngokungalinganiyo, njengoko ioyile isenza phezulu ubuncinci isihlanu seendleko zokubhabha okuqhelekileyo. Kule minyaka imbalwa idlulileyo, kuye kwakho ukuphumla kwiimfuno zevisa ngamazwe ahlukeneyo, konke oku kube negalelo ekwenzeni kube lula ukuhamba.
Ukusuka kwimbono yejografi, indawo yeAsia Pacific ibikhokele. Utyeshelo lwamanye amazwe kwiinyanga ezisibhozo zokuqala zika-2019 zazinyuke nge-7.9%. I-Afrika ikwindawo yesibini; Ukuhamba ngoJan-Aug kwakungu-6.0% phezulu. Amazwe aseMelika naseYurophu akwindawo yesithathu neyesine, ukubhalisa ukukhula ngo-Agasti nge-4.6% kunye ne-4.5% ngokwahlukeneyo. Ummandla wehlabathi osokolayo yi-Middle East; Uhambo lwamazwe aphesheya ngoJan-Aug lwehla nge-1.7%.
Amagqabantshintshi okukhula kwezi nyanga zisibhozo zokuqala ebesuka e-Asia Pacific esiya eYurophu, enyuka nge-10.4%, ukusuka e-Afrika ukuya eMelika, anyuka nge-10.1% kwaye ukusuka eYurophu ukuya kuMbindi Mpuma, anyuka nge-9.7%. Izinto eziqhubela phambili kwezi zinto ibeyimakethi eyomeleleyo yamaTshayina, ukwanda okukhohlakeleyo yiIthiopian Airlines, ukunyusa ukuphindaphindeka kweenqwelomoya ukuya eNew York, kunye nokubuyela kwimeko yezokhenketho eYiphutha, eyonakaliswe kakubi ziziganeko zobunqolobi ngo-2015.
Ukujonga phambili kwisithuba seenyanga ezintathu, kweyoMsintsi ukuya kweyeNkanga, iAfrika ikhokela phambili; ukuqhubela phambili ukubhukisha yi-9.8% ngaphambi kokuba ibisekupheleni kuka-Agasti wonyaka ophelileyo. IYurophu ikwindawo yesibini, ngokubhukisha phambili i-8.3% ngaphambili. Ilandelwa yiAsia Pacific kunye neMelika, ngokubhukisha phambili phambili kwe-7.6% kunye ne-6.0% ngokwahlukeneyo. UMbindi Mpuma usemva kokulahla, apho ukubhukisha phambili kuhamba phambili nge-2.9%.
Ezona ndlela zithembisayo ekubhukishweni kukhenketho lwexesha elizayo kwixesha likaSeptemba-Novemba zisuka eMelika ziye kuMbindi Mpuma, phambili nge-18.4%, ukusuka eYurophu ukuya kuMbindi Mpuma, phambili nge-14.2% nase-Afrika ukuya eYurophu, phambili nge-15.2%. Izinto eziqhubayo kukubuyiselwa kwe-Egypt kunye ne-Airlines zase-Ethiopia eziqhubela phambili ukuphucula indawo yokuhlala.
U-Olivier Ponti uqukumbele ngelithi: “Xa ndijonga phambili, ndibona izikhombisi ezibini zokumelana nemilinganiselo. Ukuqhubela phambili ukubhukisha kulungile kodwa iminyhadala yezopolitiko ihlala iyinto exhalabisayo.
