The Umbutho wamazwe ngamazwe oThutho loMoya (IATA) ibhengeze ukukhula kokukhula kwemfuno yabakhweli kwihlabathi liphela ngoJulayi. Iyonke ingeniso yabakhweli yeerhafu (RPKs) inyuke nge-3.6%, xa kuthelekiswa kwinyanga enye ngo-2018. Oku kwehle ukusuka ku-5.1% ukukhula konyaka okurekhodwe ngoJuni. Yonke imimandla ithumele ukwanda kwetrafikhi. Umthamo wenyanga (iikhilomitha zokuhlala ezifumanekayo okanye ii-ASK) zonyuke nge-3.2% kwaye umthwalo unyuke nge-0.3 yepesenti ukuya kwi-85.7%, ephezulu ephezulu kuyo nayiphi na inyanga.
“Intsebenzo kaJulayi ibonakalise ukuqala okuthambileyo kwexesha lokufuna abakhweli. Imirhumo, iimfazwe zorhwebo, kunye nokungaqiniseki malunga ne-Brexit kunegalelo kubume bemfuno obuthathaka kunokuba besibonile ngo-2018. Ngaxeshanye ukunyuka kokumodareyithwa kwamandla kunceda ukufezekisa izinto, ”utshilo UAlexandre de Juniac, uMlawuli-Jikelele we-IATA kunye ne-CEO.
July 2019
(% unyaka nonyaka) isabelo sehlabathi RPK ASK PLF (% -pt) PLF (inqanaba)
Itotali iphela 100.0% 3.6% 3.2% 0.3% 85.7%
IAfrika 2.1% 4.0% 5.8% -1.3% 73.5%
I-Asia Pacific 34.5% 5.2% 5.1% 0.0% 83.1%
IYurophu 26.8% 3.3% 3.1% 0.2% 89.0%
KwiLatin America 5.1% 2.8% 1.8% 0.8% 85.3%
KuMbindi Mpuma 9.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 81.2%
Intshona Melika 22.3% 2.7% 1.6% 0.9% 88.8%
Iimakethi zaBakhweli baMazwe ngaMazwe
Imfuno yabagibeli bamazwe aphesheya kaJulayi inyuke nge-2.7% xa kuthelekiswa noJulayi 2018, eyayikukuncipha xa kuthelekiswa nokukhula kwe-5.3% ngoJuni. Umthamo unyuke nge-2.4%, kwaye umthwalo ulinganise ngaphezulu kwepesenti ye-0.2 ukuya kwi-85.3%. Yonke imimandla ichaze ukukhula, ikhokelwa ziinqwelomoya kwiLatin America.
Ukuhamba ngenqwelomoya kweAsia-Pacific ngoJulayi kwinyuke nge-2.7% kwisithuba sonyaka ophelileyo, ukwehla xa kuthelekiswa nokukhula kukaJuni nge-3.9% kunye nokusebenza kwabo obuthathaka ukusukela ekuqaleni konyaka ka-2013. I-US-China kunye ne-Japan-South Korea ukungavisisani kwezorhwebo kunye noxinzelelo lwezopolitiko e-Hong Kong zonke zinobunzima kwithemba lokushishina.
Abathwali baseYurophu babhalise ukukhula okuthobekileyo kwe-3.3% ngonyaka ngoJulayi, behla ukusuka kwi-5.6% yonyaka-ngaphezulu-konyaka ukonyuka ngoJuni. Eli lelona nqanaba licothayo lokukhula ukusukela phakathi ku-2016. Ukuqhubeka kokungaqiniseki malunga neBrexit kunye nokucothisa ukuthunyelwa kwelinye ilizwe laseJamani kunye nomsebenzi wokuvelisa kube negalelo kubuthathaka kwishishini nakubathengi. Umthamo unyuke nge-3.2%, kwaye umthwalo unyuke nge-0.1 yepesenti ukuya kwi-89.0%, ephezulu phakathi kwemimandla.
Abathwali boMbindi Mpuma babenonyuso lwe-1.6% kwimfuno kaJulayi, ezantsi ukukhula ngo-8.3% kubhalwe ngoJuni, emva kokuphela kweRamadan. Ubuthathaka kurhwebo lwehlabathi, amaxabiso e-oyile agungxulileyo kunye nokuqina koxinzelelo kwezopolitiko zizinto ezingalunganga kulo mmandla. Umthamo kaJulayi wenyuka nge-1.0% xa kuthelekiswa nonyaka ophelileyo kwaye umthwalo wanyuka nge-0.4 yepesenti ukuya kwi-81.3%.
Ukugcwala kweenqwelo moya zaseNyakatho Melika zenyuka nge-1.5% xa kuthelekiswa noJulayi kunyaka ophelileyo. Oku kwehle ukusuka ekukhuleni kwe-3.5% ngoJuni, kubonisa ukwehla kwezoqoqosho lwase-US nase-Canada kunye neengxabano zorhwebo. Amandla kaJulayi anyuke nge-0.7% ngesiphumo sokuba umthwalo unyuke nge-0.7 yepesenti ukuya kwi-87.9%, kwindawo yesibini ephezulu phakathi kwemimandla.
Iinqwelomoya zaseLatin American zafumana ukunyuka nge-4.1% kwezithuthi ngoJulayi, ekwakukhula okunamandla phakathi kwemimandla kodwa kwehla ukusuka kwi-5.8% yonyaka-ukukhula konyaka ngoJuni. Kwenzekile phakathi kokuphazamiseka okuqhubekayo kulandela ukubhubha kwe-Avianca Brasil kunye neemeko zomceli mngeni ngakumbi kuqoqosho oluphambili lwengingqi. Umthamo unyuke nge-2.7% kwaye umthwalo unyuke nge-1.1 yepesenti ukuya kuma-85.6%.
Iinqwelo-moya zase-Afrika ezingoJulayi zonyuke nge-3.6%, ukwehla okubonakalayo ukusuka kwi-9.8% yokukhula okurekhodwe ngoJuni, njengokunciphisa ukuzithemba kweshishini eMzantsi Afrika kususa iimeko zoqoqosho eziqinileyo kwenye indawo kwilizwekazi. Umthamo unyuke nge-6.1%, kwaye umthwalo uthabathe amanqaku e-1.7 eepesenti ukuya kuma-72.9%.
Iimarike zabahambi basekhaya
Imfuno zohambo lwasekhaya zigqithe ekukhuleni kwamazwe aphesheya ngoJulayi, njengoko ii-RPKs zonyuke nge-5.2% kwiimarike ezilandelwa yi-IATA, ukusuka ku-4.7% ukukhula ngoJuni. Ubungakanani basekhaya bonyuke nge-4.7%, kwaye umthwalo wanyuka nge-0.4 yepesenti ukuya kwi-86.5%.
July 2019
(% unyaka nonyaka) isabelo sehlabathi RPK ASK PLF (% -pt) PLF (inqanaba)
Amakhaya 36.1% 5.2% 4.7% 0.4% 86.5%
I-Australia i-0.9% -0.9% 0.1% -0.8% 82.1%
IBrazil 1.1% -6.1% -6.9% 0.7% 84.7%
I-China PR 9.5% 11.7% 12.3% -0.4% 84.9%
IIndiya 1.6% 8.9% 7.1% 1.4% 88.3%
IJapan 1.1% 4.7% 5.8% -0.8% 71.7%
Imali yaseRussia. 1.5% 6.8% 6.3% 0.5% 92.2%
I-US 14.0% 3.8% 2.6% 1.1% 89.4%
Ukugcwala kwabasekhaya e-China kunyuke nge-11.7% ngoJulayi-ukunyusa ngaphezulu kwe-8.9% yokukhula okurekhodwe ngoJuni kunye nokusebenza okomeleleyo kwasekhaya. Ukukhula kuxhamla kwimali ephantsi kunxibelelwano.
Ukugcwala kwabantu baseJapan kunyuke nge-4.7% ngoJulayi, ukusuka kwi-2.6% ngoJuni. Ukuzithemba kushishino kunye nokukhula koqoqosho kulungile ngokwangoku.
The Line Bottom
Ngexesha eliphezulu lehlobo elisentla emantla izigidi zabantu ziye zaya esibhakabhakeni ukuze zidibane kwakhona neentsapho, ukujonga umhlaba okanye ukonwabela iiholide ezifanelekileyo. Icandelo lokuhamba ngenqwelomoya lisebenza nzima ukuqinisekisa ukuba iindleko zokusingqongileyo kuko konke ukuhamba ziyacuthwa.
“Ubungakanani bekhabhoni yohambo lomoya oluphakathi kulo nyaka sisiqingatha sento ebekufanele ukuba ibiyiyo ngo-1990. Ukuqonda ukubanakho kwamafutha eenqwelo-moya ezinzileyo kuya kudlala indima enkulu kwithagethi yethu yama-2020 yokunciphisa ukukhutshwa komnatha jikelele ukuya kwisiqingatha sika-2050. Ngelishwa, xa kucwangcisiwe irhafu yokusingqongileyo okanye ithathelwa ingqalelo eYurophu, kubonakala ngathi oorhulumente banomdla wokurhafisa i-aviation kunokuba basebenzisane nomzi-mveliso ukuwenza uzinze, utshilo u-de Juniac.
