Esenza intetho ephambili kwi-Africa Hotel Investment Forum (AHIF), uDaniel Silke, uMhlalutyi wezoQoqosho lwezoPolitiko kunye noMlawuli wePolitical Futures Consultancy, ozinze eKapa, unike uhlolo olunethemba nge-Afrika njengendawo yotyalo-mali lwangaphakathi. Uthe:
“Ngokokwanda komngcipheko wezopolitiko kwihlabathi liphela, ukukhula kwe-Afrika kutsha nje kuyathandabuzeka. Ukonyuka kokhuseleko kulawulo lukaTrump phakathi kwengxabano yoRhwebo yase-US/China yongeza kuxinzelelo. Ukunyuka kweDola yaseMelika kunye nezinga lenzala nako kubeka uxinzelelo kutyalo-mali lwangaphakathi kwilizwekazi kunye neemali zangaphakathi. Singasathethi ke ngokungaqiniseki kwezopolitiko eYurophu kunye nomcimbi weBrexit ongasonjululwanga eUnited Kingdom. "
“Amazwe aseAfrika ajongene nezi zoyikiso zehlabathi kunye nezinye iimarike ezivelayo kwihlabathi liphela. Noko ke, phezu kwazo nje ezi ngxwabangxwaba, amazwe aseAfrika asaqhubeka ehlanganisa ukukhula koqoqosho lwawo. Ngelixa ukukhula kwehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba kume ngxi ngowama-2019, ukukhula kwe-Afrika kulindeleke ukuba kuphucuke ngaphezu kowama-2018 kwaye kudlule umndilili weGDP yehlabathi. Ukunyuka komgangatho wabathengi kuxhasa kakhulu ukusebenza koqoqosho lwase-Afrika, kodwa ulawulo olungcono, amandla eziko kunye nohlaziyo lweshishini konke kunceda ekutsaleni utyalo-mali oluthe ngqo lwangaphandle oluvela kumazwe ahlukeneyo - hayi iTshayina kuphela!
“Okubalulekileyo kukuba, eli lizwekazi lisekuqaleni nje ekuphuculeni urhwebo lwalo phakathi kweAfrika kunye namathuba kwiinkampani zelizwekazi eliqhuba ushishino. Isivumelwano sokurhweba ngokukhululekileyo selizwekazi kunye nokukhululwa kwezithuthi zasemoyeni zibonakalisa kakuhle ekuphuculeni ukufikelela kweenkampani zase-Afrika kwiimarike zommandla. Imigaqo-nkqubo yezoqoqosho iyatshintsha kuzo zonke iimarike ezibalulekileyo njengoko iinkokeli ezintsha zisamkela uhlaziyo olulungele urhwebo. Kwaye, iimfazwe zorhwebo zinokutshintsha imveliso kunye nokuveliswa kwilizwekazi njengoko iAfrika ubukhulu becala ihlala ingaphandle kweemfazwe zangoku zamaxabiso. Abemi abafundileyo, abafuna imisebenzi kunye nokufudukela kwabantu ezidolophini konke oko kunegalelo ekwandeni kwecandelo leenkonzo, ezolimo nokuvelisa njengabathathi-nxaxheba abaphambili kwixesha elizayo.”
“Nangona uxinezeleko luhleli kumazwe ase-Afrika ukuba amkele abatyali-zimali bamanye amazwe kunye namashishini akhulayo asekhaya azimisele ukufuna indawo enkulu. Ulawulo olungcono kunye norhwaphilizo olunganeno, ukuxhathisa utyekelo lobuzwe kunye nobutyebi (okanye ulawulo) ubuzwe kunye neziseko ezingundoqo eziphuculweyo zibalulekile ekugcineni amandla kunye nomngeni obalulekileyo wokudala imisebenzi. Ngokunyukayo, i-Afrika iya kwamkela amazwe angaphandle kunye nabatyali-zimali bayo abamanyanisiweyo abanamathuba amakhulu angaphaya kwelizwekazi.”
"Ngelixa ukuguquguquka kwexesha elifutshane kuya kuqhubeka, amathuba okukhula kwexesha elide ahlala eqinile."
Idatha enikezelwe kwi-AHIF ukuxhasa ingxelo kaDaniel Silke ibandakanya oku kulandelayo:
• I-Afrika iza kukhula ngo-2019 nge-4.2% xa ithelekiswa nomndilili wokukhula kwehlabathi we-2.9%.
• I-Ethiopia, iKenya, iRwanda kunye neTanzania ziya kukhula ngaphezu kwe-5% ngokusekelwe kuhambo olulungileyo lotyalo-mali lwangaphandle.
• I-Cote D'ivoire, iSenegal kunye neGhana zizimisele ukukhula ngaphezu kwe-6% ngo-2019.
• Ukwanda okukhulu kwabantu base-Afrika abakwixesha lokusebenza ukuya kutsho phantse kwiibhiliyoni ezi-2 ngowama-2060.
INTO ONOKUYITHATHA KWELI NQAKU:
- A more educated population, a clamouring for job and urbanisation all contribute to the rise of the services sector, agriculture and manufacturing as key players into the future.
- A rising consumer class underpins much of the performance of African economies, but better governance, institutional capacity and business reforms all assist in attracting foreign direct investment from a variety of nations – and not just China.
- While global growth is set to stagnate in 2019, Africa's growth is set to improve over 2018 and outpace the global GDP average.
