EBerlin, EJAMANI – Ukhenketho lweHlabathi kunye noKhenketho kulindeleke ukuba luvelise kufutshane ne-US$8 yetriliyoni ngo-2008, lunyuke luye malunga ne-US$15 yetriliyoni kule minyaka ilishumi izayo, ngokophando lwamva nje lweTourism Satellite Accounting (TSA) oluqaliswe namhlanje yiWorld Travel & IBhunga lezoKhenketho (WTTC) kunye neqabane layo lobuchule iAccenture.
Lilonke, iziphumo ezitsha ze-TSA zibonisa ukuba kuya kubakho impembelelo ephakathi kwishishini lezoHambo noKhenketho ngenxa yokudodobala koqoqosho lwehlabathi, nezinga lohlumo lwalo lonyaka lifumana ukwehla ngo-2008 ukuya kwi-3%, xa kuthelekiswa ne-3.9% ngo-2007. .
Xa sijonga ngaphaya koku kuhla komjikelo wangoku, uqikelelo lwexesha elide lwalatha kwinqanaba elivuthiweyo kodwa elizinzileyo lokukhula kohambo lwehlabathi kunye noKhenketho phakathi kowama-2009 nowama-2018, umlinganiselo wokukhula okwi-4.4% ngonyaka, oxhasa imisebenzi engama-297 ezigidi kunye ne-10.5% yehlabathi jikelele. I-GDP ngo-2018.
WTTC Umongameli uJean-Claude Baumgarten wachaza "Imingeni ivela kwi-US slowdown kunye nedola ebuthakathaka, iindleko eziphezulu zepetroli kunye neenkxalabo malunga nokutshintsha kwemozulu. Nangona kunjalo, ukwanda olomeleleyo kumazwe asakhasayo - zombini njengeendawo zokhenketho nanjengomthombo okhulayo wabatyeleli bamazwe ngamazwe - kuthetha ukuba ithemba leshishini lihlala liqaqambile kwixesha eliphakathi.
Kwimimandla ye-Afrika, i-Asia Pacific kunye noMbindi Mpuma zifumana amazinga okukhula aphezulu kunomndilili wehlabathi, kwi-5.9%, 5.7% kunye ne-5.2% ngokulandelelana, ngelixa iimarike ezivuthiweyo, ngakumbi iMelika neYurophu, ziwela ngaphantsi komndilili wehlabathi nge ukukhula nge-2.1% kunye ne-2.3% ngokulandelelanayo.
Ifuthe elipheleleyo lokucotha kweemarike ezivuthiweyo kulindeleke ukuba lihlawulwe ngamandla eemarike ezikhulayo kuchaza uJohn Walker, uSihlalo we-Oxford Economics "Ngokukodwa, i-China, i-Indiya kunye nezinye iimarike ezikhulayo zisakhula ngokukhawuleza, eziya kwandisa zombini ishishini. kunye nohambo lokuzonwabisa, ngelixa amazwe amaninzi akuMbindi Mpuma esenza iinkqubo zotyalo-mali ezinxulumene nokhenketho.”
Ngaphaya koko, nakumazwe apho ukukhula koqoqosho kunciphayo, kunokwenzeka ukuba kubekho utshintsho ukusuka kumazwe ngamazwe ukuya kuhambo lwangaphakathi endaweni yokuncipha kwemfuno yoHambo noKhenketho.
Phakathi kwamazwe ali-176 agutyungelwe kuphando lwe-TSA, iUnited States iyaqhubeka nokugcina isikhundla sokhenketho njengoqoqosho olukhulu lokuHamba noKhenketho olunebango lilonke elibalelwa ngaphezulu kwe-US$1,747 yebhiliyoni kulo nyaka. Ngezinga lokukhula kwe-1.1% ngo-2008 ukunqongophala kwamatyala kukhokelela ekunciphiseni okuphawulekayo kuhlumo loqoqosho lwase-US kwaye kubonakala ngathi kuthintele ukuhamba kwezoshishino kwabo basebenza kwiimarike zemali.
Umhlaba obonakalayo wenziwe ziimarike ezisahlumayo ezifumana ukukhula okukhawulezayo koqoqosho. Ngo-2008, i-China iya kuxhuma kwindawo yesine ukuya kwindawo yesibini ngaphezu kweJapan kunye neJamani kwaye iqikelelwe ukuba inyuse iMfuno yoKhenketho kunye noKhenketho ngokuphindwe kane ngo-2018, i-US $ 2,465 yezigidigidi, kunye nezinga lokukhula lonyaka le-8.9%. Phakathi kwabalimi abakhawulezayo ngo-2008, iMacau ikhokela ngesantya sokukhula kwi-22%.
Ebalaselisa imiceli mngeni yokuguquguquka kweemarike kunye neziganeko zangaphandle elijongene nazo ishishini u-Alex Christou, umlawuli ophezulu we-Accenture's Transportation & Travel Services uthe “Iinkampani ezisebenza kakuhle kakhulu ziya kuzahlula ngokugxila kakhulu kubathengi bazo. Abaphumeleleyo baya kuba ziinkampani ezithatha imbono elungeleleneyo, eziqhuba ukusondelana kwabathengi kunye nokuveliswa kwezinto ezintsha ngelixa ziqhuba iindleko ezingeyoxabiso elongezelelweyo kwimisebenzi yazo. ”
INTO ONOKUYITHATHA KWELI NQAKU:
- The overall impact of this slowdown for mature markets is expected to be offset by the strength of the emerging markets explains John Walker, Chairman of Oxford Economics “In particular, China, India and other emerging markets are still growing rapidly, which will increase both business and leisure travel, while many countries in the Middle East are undertaking massive tourism-related investment programmes.
- 1% in 2008 the credit crunch is leading to a marked slowdown in US economic growth and is likely to restrict the business travel of those working in financial markets.
- Moreover, even in countries where economic growth slows, there is likely to be a switch from international to domestic travel rather than a contraction in demand for Travel &.
