Kwintlanganiso yonyaka yeProspects eququzelelwe nguMbutho wezoKhenketho ngoLwesine, nge-8 kaJanuwari, igqiza leengcaphephe zeshishini kunye neengcali zokhenketho zadibana ukuze zixoxe ngamathemba okhenketho ngo-2009. ukuchitha, uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali oluncitshisiweyo olusuka kwimarike yenkampani, ukuncitshiswa kokuhlala kwehotele kunye namaxabiso amagumbi, kunye nezisongelo ezivela kwiindleko ze-APD kunye ne-VISA, ezinokunqanda iindwendwe ezingena eBritani. Nangona kunjalo, ngenqaku elincomekayo, uqikelelo luquka ukonyuka kokhenketho lwase-UK (zombini iCaravan Club kunye neHoseasons zinike ingxelo yokunyuka okumandla kokubhukisha ukuza kuthi ga ngoku xa kuthelekiswa noJanuwari 2008), umnxeba wokuvusa abanini hotele ukuba babonelele ngexabiso elingcono lemali, entsha. ubuchwepheshe bamandla ahlaziyekayo, kunye nokuba nokwenzeka kweendwendwe ezininzi ezivela e-USA nase-China ngoku ukuba ii-Olimpiki zaseBeijing kunye nonyulo lukamongameli wase-US luphelile.

Iimbono ezisuka kwiPaneli
Geoffrey Lipman, usekela Nobhala jikelele we UNWTO kunye nosihlalo walo msitho, wachaza ukuba ukufika kwamazwe ngamazwe ngokwenene kunokuba kubi ngakumbi kunokukhula kwe-0-2 ekhulwini kwehlabathi okuxelwe kwangaphambili ngo-2009 (ngokusekwe kuhlumo lwesi-6 ekhulwini kunyaka ophelileyo). Ukuphendula oku, i UNWTO idale 'ikomiti yokuqina' ukuze ijonge iinkcukacha-manani ngononophelo ngakumbi kwaye ibambe iintlanganiso zothungelwano ukuzama ukuqinisekisa ukuba ukhenketho luyabandakanywa kwiinkqubo zokuvuselela.

UPhilip Morrison, ingcaphephe yokuqonda kuTyelelo lwaseBritani, uthe iponti ebuthathaka ngokuchasene ne-Euro izakwenza ukuba abahlali base-UK bayeke ukutyelela i-Eurozone kodwa endaweni yokudala ithuba lokhenketho lwasekhaya, iindwendwe zinokukhetha ukutyelela iindawo ezivelayo zaseMorroco, Egypt, naseTurkey. Abakhenkethi baya kunciphisa ukuthenga, ukutya ezivenkileni, kunye nokuzonwabisa, ngelixa ikhefu elifutshane kumazwe angaphandle libonwa njengelona shishini 'lisemngciphekweni', kwaye abakhenkethi banokuthi bazenzekele. Ishishini kufuneka liphendule kule nto ngokunikezela ngexabiso elongezelelweyo kuhambo, uPhilip walumkisa, ngokuchasene nokuncitshiswa kwexabiso njengoko oku kunokumisela umzekelo, okunzima ukuphuma kuwo. UPhilip uqhubeke wacebisa ukuba ukhenketho lweshishini lunokuthi lube nemfuno ebuthathaka ngo-2009, iinqwelomoya ezininzi zinokusilela njengoko iindleko zabo zokusebenza ziya kunyuka, kwaye iihotele ezinkulu kunye nophuhliso lwaselwandle luya kufumana iingxaki ngemali. I-US ijonge ukunyusa inani labahlali base-US abaneepaspoti, enokuba lithuba lokundwendwela e-UK. Imfuneko ye-VISA enokwenzeka yeendwendwe ezivela eBrazil, eMalaysia, naseMzantsi Afrika kunye nokunyuka kwi-APD kunye neendleko ze-VISA kuya kwenza i-UK ingabi nomtsalane njengendawo yokuya.

UPhilip Green, usihlalo we-UKInbound, wathi imeko yezoqoqosho inokukhokelela ekunciphiseni iindleko, oku kuthetha ukuba amanqanaba aphantsi enkonzo kunye nokungabikho kotyalo-mali olutsha kwizakhiwo zehotele, ezinokuthi zibe yinkxalabo malunga nophuhliso lwe-2012. “Ukunqongophala komdlalo omkhulu wamazwe ngamazwe ngo-2009 kunokukhulula imfuno ye-UK, kodwa imarike yangaphakathi ngo-2009 kungenzeka ukuba 'ithambe' kwaye ukuhlala kwehotele kungenzeka kwehla," utshilo uGreen, ngelixa egxininisa ukuba ukuthengisa nokukhuthaza amazwe ngamazwe. yase-UK njengendawo yokusingwa iyafuneka, kodwa ngemali encinci ye-VisitBritish lo msebenzi uphantsi komngcipheko. "Ndiyathemba ukuba urhulumente wase-UK kungekudala uza kuqonda ukuba iindleko eziphezulu ze-APD kunye ne-VISA ziya kusebenza njengesithintelo kwiindwendwe ezingenayo."

URobert Barnard, umxhasi wesiganeko kunye neqabane kunye ne-PKF consultancy, wachaza ukuba ngoDisemba 2000 kunye noNovemba 2008 ukuhlala kwehotele eLondon kwakukwinqanaba elifanayo - malunga neepesenti ze-81 - ezibonisa ukomelela kwemarike nangona kukho ukuguquguquka phakathi kweminyaka ngenxa unyawo nomlomo, 9/11, SARS, kunye nemfazwe eIraq. ILondon ineemarike zehotele ezimangalisayo kwaye inokubuyisela ngokukhawuleza kwimeko ye-geopolitical; Ngoko ke, kuyaqinisekisa ukuqaphela ukuba imbali ibonisa ukuba ukuchacha kunokwenzeka. Icandelo leehotele zengingqi aliguquguquki njengeLondon kwaye ukuguquguquka kuhambelana nemeko yezoqoqosho. Icandelo lemarike ephakathi kunokwenzeka ukuba libandezeleke xa likhuphisana nohlahlo lwabiwo-mali lweehotele. “Ngoku lixesha lokuba ujonge nzulu kwishishini lakho kwaye uqinisekise ukuba ukwimo entle yokumelana nesaqhwithi.

UJohn Bevan, owayesakuba ngusekela mongameli we-UK kunye ne-Ireland nge-lastminute.com, wathi abakhenkethi abakhulu baye banciphisa umthamo, beshiya iindawo ezifumaneka emva kwexesha zincinci ukuba zithengiswe. Inzala ecuthiweyo ibangela ukuba abo bebesadla umhlala-phantsi abahlala phesheya kolwandle bagoduke, nto leyo enokuthi ikhuthaze imfuno yeeholide zasekhaya. Abo bahlali base-UK abaneemali mboleko ze-tracker baya kuba nengeniso eninzi yokuchitha kwiihambo. Inzala yohambo oluphumayo kwikhefu elibandakanya konke iyenyuka. Ubude bexesha eliguquguqukayo lisiko lokukhula kunye nabaqhubi abanikezela ubusuku obu-5-6 kunye nobusuku obu-9-10 endaweni ye-7 okanye i-14 yendabuko.

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Kumsitho wonyaka othi 'Izinto ezilindelekileyo' ngoJanyuwari ka-2008

Kwintlanganiso yonyaka yeProspects eququzelelwe nguMbutho wezoKhenketho ngoLwesine we-10 kaJanuwari, igqiza leengcali zeshishini kunye neengcali zokhenketho zadibana ukuze zixoxe ngamathemba okhenketho kwi-2008.

UGeoffrey Lipman, uSekela Nobhala Jikelele we UNWTO kwaye usihlalo walo msitho uqalise iinkqubo ngengqikelelo encomekayo ye-WTO yokukhula kwehlabathi nge-5% ekulindeleke ukuba kuqhubeke ngo-2008. IYurophu ayinakwenzeka ukuba ikhule kakhulu kodwa amazwe asahlumayo azakubona ukukhula okuphezulu. Imiba enokuthi ithintele olu qikelelo luhle ngo-2008 lubandakanya uqoqosho, ukutshintshiselana ngemali, iintlekele zendalo kunye neemfazwe ezenziwe ngabantu.

Umbutho wezoKhenketho wenze uphando malunga neengqikelelo zamalungu ngo-2008 kwaye wafumana ezi mbono zininzi zilandelayo:

Ukuhlala kweehotele kuya kuhlala kunjalo kodwa ingeniso yaseLondon iya kunyuka
I-85% yabaphenduli bacinga ukuba ukusetyenziswa kweendawo zokuphonononga iihotele kuya kwanda
I-75% yayicinga ukuba ikhefu elifutshane lasekhaya liya kwanda
I-69% icinge ukuba iiholide ezilungiselelwe ngokuzimeleyo zaphesheya ziya kwanda
I-75% iphendule ngelithi amanani abakhweli kwinqwelomoya aza kunyuka
I-73% yayicinga ukuba ukusetyenziswa kweewebhusayithi zokuthelekisa ezifana ne-Expedia kuya kwandisa iiwebhusayithi zenkampani nganye ezifana ne-ba.com.
I-94% icinge ukuba ukusetyenziswa kwe-intanethi ukubhukisha iiholide zaphesheya kuya kunyuka ngokuchasene ne-86% ecinga ukuba ukusetyenziswa kwe-intanethi ukubhukisha uhambo lwasekhaya kuya kwanda kwaye kuphela i-76% ecinga okufanayo kwiihambo zezoshishino.

U-Nick Cust, uMlawuli oMawuneyo weSuperbreak uqikelele ukuba isiqingatha sokuqala sika-2008 siya kuba nzima kodwa iLondon isenokungachaphazeleki ngenxa yezinto ezintle ezifana nekhonkco elitsha le-eurostar elivela eSt Pancras, iminyhadala kwi-O2 Arena kunye nemiboniso emitsha kwithiyetha yaseLondon. umhlaba. Ngokucotha kwimakethi yezindlu, ikhefu elifutshane lasekhaya lisenokubona ukunyuka okuncinci, nangona kunjalo amaphondo, ngakumbi iihotele, ziya kubandezeleka ngokuchasene nokukhula kweLondon kwaye ziya kuba nethamsanqa lokubamba inqanaba elifanayo lokuthengisa ngo-2007 nangona uphuculo kwisiqingatha sesibini sika-2008. .

UStephen Dowd, i-CEO ye-UKinbound yachaza ukuba imiba engathandekiyo kwi-2007 kuquka ukunyuka kweendleko ze-APD kunye ne-VISA, i-pound ifikelela kwi-US $ 2, umsebenzi wamaphekula, isiphithiphithi sesikhululo seenqwelomoya kunye nezikhukhula, iNyawo kunye noMlomo, ukucutha uhlahlo lwabiwo-mali lwaseBritani, kunye ne-VISAS entsha ye-biometric yayiyimiqobo yonke. kwi-UK ithengise ngempumelelo imveliso yayo yokhenketho kumazwe ngamazwe. UStephen uqikelele ukuhla kwamanani abatyeleli nge-1-2% ukuya kwi-32 yezigidi ukuya kwinqanaba lika-2005 kwaye ingeniso kulindeleke ukuba yehle nge-4-5%. Impembelelo yentlalontle yoku kuhla yilahleko enokubakho yemisebenzi engama-8,000 kukhenketho olusasazeke kulo lonke elase-UK. IVeki yoKhenketho yaseBritane ngoMatshi iya kwenza ukuba ishishini lokhenketho lase-UK lizikhuthaze kwaye liphembelele urhulumente ukuba arhoxise iintlawulo ze-APD kunye ne-VISA.

UTom Jenkins, uMlawuli oyiNtloko we-European Tour Operators Association (ETOA) wachaza ukuba ishishini lokuhamba litshintsha kunye neenqwelo-moya zebhajethi ezidala iindawo ezintsha kunye nokuziphatha kwabathengi kunye neendlela zokuhamba eziguqukayo ngenxa yoko. Eyona nto iphambili ekufuneka ijongwe ngo-2008 yinkqubo yohlaziyo yoMyalelo wokuHamba kwabakhweli.

UVanessa Cotton, MD weNkomfa kunye neCandelo leMicimbi kwiZiko le-Excel wayenembono encomekayo yecandelo lezokhenketho loshishino apho uVanessa walichaza njengecandelo elinomdla, elizinzileyo nelikhulayo lemarike elixabisa i-£22.8 yeebhiliyoni kuqoqosho lwase-UK. Ukhenketho loshishino luvuselela uqoqosho, lukhuthaza utyalo-mali lwexesha elizayo kwaye lunegalelo ekuvuselelweni ngokutsha kweedolophu. Imisitho iya kuba yindleko enkulu ukuyibamba ngokunyuka kwexabiso leoli negesi kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso. UVanessa uqikelele ukuba umgangatho omtsha obizwa ngokuba yi-BS8901 uya kubaluleka kakhulu kulo nyaka uzayo kulawulo lwemisitho ezinzileyo. I-2012 yithuba elikhulu kodwa ukungabikho kwangoku kokubambisana e-UK kunokuthintela amandla. Iziko le-Excel liqikelela ukukhula kwe-20% kwingeniso ngo-2008 ngokuhlala kunye nesivuno.

UBarry Humphreys, uMlawuli weMicimbi yangaphandle kwi-Virgin Atlantic wachaza ukuba i-2008 iya kuba ngunyaka onomdla; I-IATA ikhuphe uqikelelo lwemali yoshishino olutsha oluqikelela ingeniso yoshishino yehlabathi ye-US$5.6 yebhiliyoni ngo-2007 ewela kwi-US$5.0 yebhiliyoni ngo-2008. (www.iata.org). Okusingqongileyo kuya kuqhubeka kungumba omkhulu kwaye Virgin yinxalenye 'flyingmatters'; umfelandawonye osekwe ukufaka isandla kwingxoxo-mpikiswano elungelelanisiweyo nenolwazi ngegalelo lezomoya kutshintsho lwemozulu. Intombi enyulu iya kugxila kwi-teknoloji entsha kwi-2008 kwaye ngenxa yokubhabha indiza yokuqala kwi-biofuel. Uthethwano lukarhulumente kulwandiso lweHeathrow luyaqhubeka apho uBarry wacebisa ukuba kubalulekile kuqoqosho lwase-UK kunye neshishini lokhenketho. Isivumelwano se-Open Skies siya kubona iinkonzo ezintsha kunye nezandisiweyo ezivela kwi-EU ukuya e-US ukusuka kwi-Heathrow; Inqanaba loku-1 liqala ngoMatshi kunye nenqanaba lesi-2 ehlotyeni.