Ikamva loqoqosho lwehlabathi sisihloko esibalulekileyo kwingxoxo-mpikiswano kunye nengxoxo kwi-World Travel Market 2008 (WTM). NgoLwesine, umhla we-13 kuNovemba uza kudlala i-WTM Global Economic Forum ebonelela ngabaphathi abaphezulu bohambo nokhenketho ngokujonga nzulu imeko yoqoqosho lwehlabathi oluqhubela phambili ukuya kowama-2009-2010.
I-Deutsche Bank Group yezoqoqosho uProfesa uDkt Norbert Walter uya kunika intetho ephambili, elandelwa luchungechunge lweenkcazo ezicacileyo ezivela kwiingcali eziphambili zezoqoqosho zoshishino lokuhamba kunye noJean Claude Baumgarten, umongameli kunye ne-COO ye-World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC); Umcebisi oPhezulu woShishino lweenqwelomoya uJohn Strickland kunye nosihlalo weOxford kunye noKhenketho lwezoQoqosho uJohn Walker. Lo mnyhadala uza kukhokelwa ngoobesakuba ziintatheli zezoqoqosho kunye nomsasazi weBBC namhlanje kunye neNewsnight Peter Hobday.
Ukuphonononga imixholo emininzi, owona mbuzo uphambili iforamu iya kuphanda kwaye ifune ukuwuphendula - ngaba ishishini likwindlela edibanayo? Njengoko amazwe amaninzi kwihlabathi jikelele eqala ukubamba ukudodobala koqoqosho, oku kuthetha ntoni kushishino lokuhamba; Ngaba iya kuba lixesha apho kusinda kuphela abona bantu baxhotyisiweyo nabalungeleyo? Iphaneli ye-WTM Global Economic Forum iya kujolisa ukuphendula le mibuzo ibalulekileyo.
Ukudweba kumava akhe njenge-economist eyintloko ye-Deutsche Bank Group kwiminyaka eyi-15 edlulileyo, isithethi esiphambili uProfesa uDkt. Norbert Walter uya kubonelela abathathi-nxaxheba ngomfanekiso oqhelekileyo woqoqosho lwehlabathi kungekudala. Unjingalwazi uWalter uthe, “Lonke uqoqosho oluphambili lujongene nemingcipheko esezantsi yokukhula kunye nemingcipheko ephezulu yokunyuka kwamaxabiso, kodwa amandla okutshintsha ahluke kakhulu. Uqoqosho lwase-US lukhula kakuhle ngaphantsi kwamandla alo ngenxa yeengxaki ze-sub-prime kwaye amazwe amaninzi aseYurophu asemngciphekweni wokudodobala koqoqosho ngenxa yezilungiso eziyimfuneko kwicandelo labo lokwakha kunye ne-real estate. Iimarike ezikhulayo zimi kakuhle ngokumangalisayo, kodwa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okuphezulu kakhulu kufuna amazinga enzala aphezulu kudodobalisa ukukhula. Amazwe athengisa izinto ezityebileyo kumazwe angaphandle aya kulungelelanisa ukuthambekela kokuhla. Ubunzima babo kwezoqoqosho, nangona kunjalo, buncinci kakhulu ukunqanda ukuhla okuqhubekayo ngo-2009. "
Usihlalo weForam uPeter Hobday uza kubamba inkomfa evusa ingxoxo kwaye abuze imibuzo kwiqela leengcali ukuze lixoxe kwaye libonelele ngamabom ingqiqo ebalulekileyo kubathathi-nxaxheba. "Njengoqoqosho lwehlabathi, ngoku sijongene nomzuzu onzima, sijonge iindaba eziphambili - amaxabiso amandla ayenyuka, kukho uloyiko lokudodobala koqoqosho lwehlabathi, iimarike zemasheya ziyaqhubeka nokusokola - konke oku kuphembelela ukungathembeki kwabatyalizimali kunye nokuwohloka kwetyala. ikhuthaze abarhwebi ukuba baqhube ngobunono kutyalo-mali kuyo nayiphi na into enobungozi. Nabani na kwishishini lokuhamba - iinqwelomoya, iihotele, iindawo ekuchithelwa kuzo iiholide, abakhenkethi kunye nabanomdla abaxhomekeke kubo - ukwindawo ethile yokunika iingcebiso. Ngoku lixesha apho kusinda kuphela abona banamandla… kodwa yintoni le kufuneka ujongane nezi ngxaki, ukuze uqiniseke ukuba ukulungele ngokwaneleyo hayi nje ukusinda kodwa nokuba uphumelele? Leyo yimibuzo esiza kuxoxa ngayo neshishini eliphambili kunye nabantu bezemali kwi-WTM Global Economic Forum. Injongo asiyongxoxo nje; siza kukhangela amacebiso aluncedo nezicombululo.” utshilo usihlalo weForam, uPeter Hobday.
Ukubonelela ngeenkcukacha-manani kunye namanani anzima, usihlalo we-Oxford Economics kunye noKhenketho lwezoQoqosho uJohn Walker uya kuthatha amalungu abaphulaphuli ngenkangeleko yezoqoqosho kwishishini, ephonononga iintsingiselo zexesha elizayo. “Njengoko uqoqosho lwaseYurophu naseMelika lujongene nokuqhubeka nokukhula kwexabiso lentengo kunye nemfuno ebuthathaka yabathengi, ishishini lokuhamba lijongene nemingeni ehlaziyiweyo. Nangona kunjalo, sikholelwa ukuba kukho amathuba awodwa okwandisa isabelo semakethi ngaphakathi kwimeko yangoku ngokugxila kwiimarike eziphambili. Ndichulumancile ngethuba lokwabelana ngophando lwamva nje malunga nokukhula kohambo kulo nyaka uzayo. Ngethemba ezi ziza kusebenza njengezikhokelo kubazimasi be-WTM njengoko bethathela ingqalelo izicwangciso zabo zokuthengisa ngo-2009 no-2010,” utshilo uJohn Walker.
Ukujonga imeko yangoku yeshishini leenqwelomoya, uJohn Strickland uya kuchaza amakhonkco phakathi kweshishini kunye nemingeni yalo yangoku, ngokunxulumene neziphumo ezichaphazela oku kuqoqosho lwehlabathi. “Akuzange kubekho ixesha elilunge ngakumbi lokujonga ishishini leenqwelomoya kuqoqosho olubanzi lwehlabathi. Iinkampani zeenqwelo moya zidlala indima ekhulayo nebalulekileyo ekusebenzeni koqoqosho lwanamhlanje kwihlabathi liphela. Abapheleli nje ekuququzeleleni unxibelelwano lobuso ngobuso, okuyimfuneko ekwaphuleni imiqobo yenkcubeko nonxibelelwano kunye nokwakha ukuthembana, kodwa bazisa ukomelela okukhulu kokhenketho kwiindawo ezininzi zehlabathi, kudala amawaka emisebenzi ebengayi kubakho. Ukanti ngokwale mvelaphi, iinkampani zeenqwelomoya ziyasokola kukunyuka kwamaxabiso epetroli, ukucotha kwemfuno kunye nokugxekwa okuthe kratya kweziqinisekiso zabo zokusingqongileyo. Kufuneka kubekho ingxoxo enengqiqo, evumayo ukuba iinkampani zeenqwelo moya 'ayiyonto eyongezelelekileyo' kwihlabathi lanamhlanje, ngelixa zisebenza ngendlela eyakhayo ukuqinisekisa ukuba zingenza igalelo elongezelelekileyo ekunciphiseni ukukhutshwa kwerhasi yegreenhouse,” ucebise watsho uJohn Strickland.
Ukujikeleza iphaneli, emele ilizwi elihlangeneyo leenkokeli zoshishino kwishishini lokuhamba kunye nokhenketho kuyo yonke imicimbi enxulumene nohambo kunye nokhenketho, umongameli kunye ne-COO yeBhunga leHlabathi lezoKhenketho (WTTC) UJean Claude Baumgarten uya kucela umngeni kumanani kunye neenkcukacha-manani ezinikezelweyo zinika ingqiqo kwizinto ezibonisayo kwishishini njengembumba. UJean Claude Baumgarten uthe, “Ngaphandle kokuwohloka kobume bezoqoqosho kwezi nyanga zilishumi elinambini zidlulileyo kunye nefuthe elingenakuthintelwa le nto kwimfuno yokhenketho yexesha elifutshane, njengoko kubonisiwe kuphando lwethu lwamva nje, amathemba okukhula kwexesha elide ohambo nokhenketho asekhona. kulungile. Kubalulekile ukuba oorhulumente bawaqonde la mandla okukhula kwaye, okona kubaluleke kakhulu, amandla ohambo kunye nokhenketho ukuvelisa ingqesho nempumelelo. Ngokuqinisekileyo eli asiloxesha lokuba oorhulumente bahlawulise irhafu engafanelekanga kushishino ngeenzame zokuthomalalisa ezabo iingxaki zemali.”
Iqhubeka kwiPlatinum Suite 4, iqonga leqonga liya kuqhutywa iiyure ezimbini ukuqala ngo-11:00 iiyure. UNjingalwazi uNorbert Walter, ingcali yezoqoqosho kwi-Deutsche Bank Group kunye nentloko ye-Deutsche Bank Research, iya kunika intetho ephambili elandelwa ziinkcazo ezintathu ezicacileyo ezivela kwiqela leengcali - uJohn Walker, usihlalo we-Oxford kunye ne-Tourism Economics; UJohn Strickland, umcebisi ophezulu weenqwelo-moya kunye noJean Claude Baumgarten, umongameli kunye ne-COO, iBhunga leHlabathi lokuHamba kunye noKhenketho. Ikhokelwa nguPeter Hobday, iseshoni yemibuzo neempendulo iya kulandela unikezelo.
Early bird rates of £59 are available to book now at www.wtmlondon.com/gef . After September 30, the rate of £79 will apply and on the door admission will be charged at £99. For more information and details about the full WTM Seminar, conference and events program visit www.wtmlondon.com .
