Ngaphandle kwamahlumelo aluhlaza abonakalayo kwizalathisi eziphambili zoqoqosho kwisiqingatha sokuqala, ukuvela kwento entsha ye-COVID-19. Micron kunye nokusabalala kwayo ngokukhawuleza kwenze ukuba ukuchacha koqoqosho lwehlabathi kwande kwangalingani ukuya esiphelweni sowama-2021, ngenxa yoko abahlalutyi baye bahlaziya uqikelelo lokukhula koqoqosho lwehlabathi luka-2022 ukusuka kwi-4.6% ngoJulayi ukuya kwi-4.5% kweyoMnga yowama-2021.
Iingcali ziqikelela ukukhula kwe-GDP yokwenyani yase-US ibe yi-1.1% kwi-Q1 2022 xa kuthelekiswa ne-1.3% kwi-Q4 2021. Ngemingeni yokubonelela ngamatyathanga kunye namazinga aphezulu osulelo, ukukhula kokwenyani kwe-GDP ye-UK kuqikelelwa ukuba kucotha ukuya kwi-0.7% xa kuthelekiswa ne-0.9%. kwangelo xesha linye. Kwelinye icala, ngenkxaso eyongezelelweyo evela kurhulumente, ukukhula kweJapan kulindeleke ukuba kunyuke ukusuka kwi-1.3% ukuya kwi-1.6%.
Ukusasazeka okukhawulezayo kwe Micron kumazwe angaphezulu kwe-100 kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso ehlabathi, ingxaki yamandla ibangelwe kukunqongophala kwamalahle, ukungavisisani kwezopolitiko kunye nokucotha kwemveliso yemveliso phakathi kokunqongophala kweetshiphusi kuhlala kuyeyona mingcipheko isezantsi yokukhula kwehlabathi ngo-2022.
Uqoqosho oluqhubela phambili olubandakanya i-US, i-UK kunye namanye amazwe aseYurophu alahlekelwa ngamandla ngokubhekiselele kumsebenzi wezoqoqosho, oye wathatha ngokuqinileyo kwi-H1 2021. Iimarike ezikhulayo ziyaqhubeka ziqhuba kakubi ngenxa yokungahambelani kokugonywa kokugonywa, indawo encinci yokuqhubela phambili inkxaso yomgaqo-nkqubo ongezelelweyo, njengoko kunye nokudodobala koqoqosho lwaseTshayina.
Nangona imingcipheko kunye nokucotha okulindelekileyo kuhlumo loqoqosho, i-Indiya kunye ne-China kulindeleke ukuba ziqhube ukukhula kwehlabathi ngo-2022. Kwelinye icala, i-Federal Reserve kulindeleke ukuba iqinise amanyathelo omgaqo-mali wokulawula amanqanaba aphezulu okunyuka kwamaxabiso kunokubangela ukuphuma kwenkunzi evela. izizwe ezisahlumayo.
NgoDisemba ka-2021, malunga ne-12,000 leenqwelomoya ziye zarhoxiswa kwihlabathi jikelele ngenxa yokwanda kweenqwelomoya. Micron iimeko ezahlukeneyo kunye nemiba yabasebenzi. Uqoqosho oluxhomekeke kuKhenketho kulindeleke ukuba lujongane nentloko kuhlumo olulindelekileyo ekuqaleni kuka-2022 ngokumiselwa kwakhona kwezithintelo. Nangona kunjalo, ukuphazamiseka kuya kuba mfutshane njengoko izicwangciso zokuhamba zihlehliswa. Abahlalutyi baqikelela inani labakhweli bomoya kwihlabathi liphela ukutsala ixesha elide kunye nokuthatha ixesha elifutshane liza kukhula nge-44% kunye ne-48%, ngokulandelelanayo, ngo-2022.
Njengoko siqhubela phambili ukuya ku-2022, iibhotile zekhonkco lobonelelo kulindeleke ukuba zidambe ngokunyuka kwemveliso. Imbonakalo yeshishini iyonke ihlala ilungile, kodwa u-Omicron uyoyikisa, kwaye umgaqo-nkqubo wemali ongqongqo unokuvala utyalo-mali lwamafu. Ukongeza, ukurhoxiswa kwangaphambili kwenkxaso yomgaqo-nkqubo kunokujongela phantsi ukubuyiswa kwehlabathi kunye nokunyusa ubuthathaka becandelo labucala kunye noluntu ekuqaleni kuka-2022.
Umngcipheko wokuchacha koqoqosho lwehlabathi ngo-2022 ubonakala ulungelelene. Ehlabathini jikelele, amakhaya aqokelele imali eninzi yokonga, ethi yakuba ityale imali iya kuqhuba umsebenzi woqoqosho. Ngaphezu koko, amazwe afana neTshayina kunye neIndiya atyala imali kumandla ohlaza, anokutsala utyalo-mali olungakumbi oluvela eNtshona. Ukwamkelwa kwe I-Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) isivumelwano kulindeleke ukuba sixhase amathuba orhwebo kwingingqi yeAsia-Pacific. Imfuneko yeli yure kukubeka iliso elicacileyo ngabasemagunyeni kwezemali nakwezemali kwizicwangciso zabo zomgaqo-nkqubo, nto leyo eya kubaluleka kakhulu ekugcineni ukuzithemba kwiimarike kunye nenkxaso yoluntu.
INTO ONOKUYITHATHA KWELI NQAKU:
- Despite visible green shoots in key macroeconomic indicators in the first half, the emergence of new COVID-19 variant Omicron and its fast spread has made the global economic recovery increasingly uneven towards the tail end of 2021, due to which the analysts have revised down the global economic growth forecast for 2022 from 4.
- Ukusasazeka okukhawulezileyo kwe-Omicron kumazwe angaphezu kwe-100 kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso ehlabathi, ingxaki yamandla ibangelwe kukunqongophala kwamalahle, uxinzelelo lwezopolitiko kunye nokucotha kwemveliso yokuvelisa phakathi kokunqongophala kweetshiphusi kuhlala kuyeyona mingcipheko isezantsi yokukhula kwehlabathi ngo-2022.
- Despite the risks and the expected slowdown in economic growth, India and China are expected to drive the global growth in 2022.
