Ukhenketho lwaMazwe ngaMazwe lubuyela kuma-48%, 74% okanye 96% ngo-2023?

1. Zintathu izinto ezenziwayo ngokophando olukhutshwe namhlanje yiPATA yonyaka wama-2023. Eyona meko ilindelekileyo ilindele ukuba i-96% yezokhenketho ibuye ngokusekwe kwi-2019
2. China, Hong Kong, USA, Thailand - ngoobani abaya kuphumelela, kwaye ngubani oza kuba looers?
3. Umphathi we-PATA uthembele kwizitofu ezifumaneka ngokufumaneka simahla kwaye izitofu ziqhubeka ngokukhawuleza, kodwa nangona kunjalo, kwaye ngelixa iziphumo zokuqala zikhuthaza kakhulu, ukusebenza kwazo kwinani labemi kusafuneka kuboniswe ngokupheleleyo.

Ngo-2023 uMntla Melika, iCaribbean kunye noMzantsi Melika bangamkela i-96.5% yabo bonke abatyeleli bamazwe aphesheya xa bebuyela xa kuthelekiswa no-2019. Ngo-2022 eli nani linokuba ngama-61.3% nama-27.7% kulo nyaka. Le yimeko yamaphupha ekhutshwe yi Umbutho wohambo lwePacific Asia (PATA) namhlanje.

Owona mfanekiso uyinyani yimeko ephakathi kunye nama-77.3% abatyeleli bamanye amazwe abuye ngowama-2023, ama-47% abuyele ngo-2002, kodwa yi-19.1% kuphela kulo nyaka.

Kuxhomekeke kuphuhliso kunye neCoronavirus elona nani linzima liza kuqikelela ukuba i-54.7% ibuyele ngo-2023, 47% 32.3% ngo-2022 no-14.3% kulo nyaka ngo-2021.
Ingxelo epheleleyo ye Uqikelelo lweNdwendwe lwaseAsia Pacific 2021-2023 ikhutshwe namhlanje nguMbutho wohambo lwePasifiki Asia (PATA), apho amathemba amathathu okukhula kubakhenkethi bamazwe aphesheya angena nakwiindawo ezingama-39 zaseAsia Pacific ezenziwe, zigubungela iimeko ezinobulali, eziphakathi kunye nezibi. 

Kukho umahluko omkhulu kwindawo nganye eya kuyo eAsia Pacific ngokunjalo, kunye nePacific ngokomzekelo, kuqikelelwa ukugqitha umthamo we-2019 wokufika kwamazwe angaphandle kuloo mmandla ngaphezulu kweepesenti ezimbini ngo-2023.

Ngaphantsi kwemeko ephakathi, elo nani kulindeleke ukuba lifikelele kwi-78% ngelixa liphantsi kwemeko enzima kunokwenzeka ukuba ihlale nje kwi-52% yevolumu ye-2019. Amazwe aseMelika akwimeko efanayo, nangona kunjalo, njengoko inani lama-2023 le-IVAs elinxulumene nele-2019 kusalindelwe ukuba lisilele phantsi komgangatho omncinci nangona kungumda omncinci.

Iimeko eziphakathi kunye ezinzima zibonisa ukwehla okufanayo kumlinganiso we-IVAs kwi-2023 xa kuthelekiswa ne-2019, kuleyo yePacific. I-Asiya, eyaziwa njengendawo yamandla okufika kwamazwe aphesheya nangaphaya kwengingqi yeAsia Pacific iya kufumana amanani afanayo kwinto elindelweyo eMelika phantsi kwemeko ephantsi. Nangona kunjalo, iimeko eziphakathi kunye nezibi zinokubuyela umva ngakumbi. Kwimeko yokugqibela umzekelo, iiprojekthi zengxelo ezithi ii-IVA ziye kuthi ga kwiAsia Pacific zibuyele ngaphantsi kwesiqingatha sevolumu ye2019 nge2023.

Eyona nto ixhalabisayo kwangoko, kuyo yonke imimandla yeAsia Pacific eya kwimimandla ephantsi kwemeko nganye, i-2021 inokuba ngomnye unyaka onzima wokuhamba kwamazwe aphesheya. Naluphi na ukukhula kunokwenzeka ukuba kungalingani ngokulinganayo, kwaye kweminye imimandla engaphantsi kunokuba ngaphantsi kwamanqanaba e-2019 nkqu nalawo-2020.

I-Asiya ese Mzantsi ngokukodwa, phantsi kwale meko imnene, kulindeleke ukuba ilahle ii-IVAs nangakumbi ngesixa sayo kwi-2019, iwele kwi-14% kwi-2021, ngaphambi kokuphindaphinda kwi-2022 kunye ne-2023. Ngaphantsi kwesimo esiphakathi, imimandla engaphaya ekuyiwa kuyo kulindeleke ukuba yehle ngakumbi ukuhla ngo-2021 xa kuthelekiswa ne-2019, ngaphambi kokuba kubuyiselwe kwimeko yesiqhelo ngo-2022 no-2023.

Ngapha koko, i-2021 kulindeleke ukuba ibe ngumceli mngeni omangalisayo phantsi kwemeko embi.

Kwinqanaba lokuya kuyo, iimarike ezintlanu eziphambili zeAsia Pacific ngevolumu yee-IVAs ezifunyenweyo azitshintshi kangako ngokokubaluleka kwaye zibambe izikhundla ezizinzileyo kwimeko nganye. Ngelixa kukho iodolo yotshintsho kwinqanaba, oku kuncinci. Ukongeza, phantsi kwemeko nganye, iindawo ezintlanu eziphezulu ezihlala zilandelwa ngaphezulu kwesiqingatha see-IVA zizonke kwingingqi.

Into ebangela umdla kukufumanisa ukuba i-China yawa kwisikhundla sayo solawulo ngo-2020, kodwa kulindeleke ukuba iphinde ibuye kwesi sikhundla ukusuka ngo-2021 ukubheka phambili. Phantsi kwemeko enzima, oku kuthatha ixesha elincinci ne-China ibuyela kwindawo yokuqala ngo-2022. Ngokufanayo, i-Hong Kong SAR, ethi emva kokuwa kwindawo ye-12 kuluhlu lwama-2020, nangona kunjalo kulindeleke ukuba ibuyele kwindawo yesithathu ngowama-2023, ngaphandle kwemeko. Ukongeza, eli qela leendawo ezintlanu eziphezulu liya lisiba likhulu ngokubhekisele kwizihlobo, ngo-2021 ubuncinci, njengoko iimeko ziguquka ukusuka kophakathi ukuya kweliphakathi emva koko ziye kubukhali.

Kwiminyaka edlulileyo ukuya ku-2023, eli qela lithanda ukubuyela phantse kwizabelo ezinxulumene ne-COVID-19. Kwithuba elide, eyona mimandla mihlanu isisiseko kunye neendawo eziya kuzo ngokunyuka kwevolumu phakathi kwe-2020 kunye ne-2023, kulindeleke ukuba zihlale zikwindawo efanayo phantsi kwazo zontathu iimeko nangona ukonyuka kwenani elipheleleyo labantu abafikayo abavela kwamanye amazwe kutshintsha ngokucacileyo.

Amaqela amahlanu aphezulu anyuka ngokubaluleka xa imeko iguquka, isuka phantse kwi-48% ye-IVA iyonke inyuka phantsi komgangatho ophantsi ukuya kwi-49% phantsi kwaphakathi kunye ne-52% phantsi kwemeko enzima.  Umphathi we-PATA uGqirha u-Mario Hardy uthe, "Unyaka wekhalenda u-2021 kungenzeka ubenzima kwiindawo ezininzi, phantse i-40% yeendawo ezingama-39 ezigutyungelwe kwezi zibikezelo zehla nangakumbi ukusuka kwindawo esezantsi yamanani okufika ngo-2020, naphantsi kwemeko engephi. . Kwimeko yezinga eliphakathi, elo nani lingonyuka liye kuma kwiipesenti ezingama-85 ngelixa liphantsi kwemeko enzima kunokuba njalo kuzo zonke iindawo ekufikelwa kuzo ezingama-39. ” "Ngokucacileyo, ukuqiniswa kokuqiniswa kwamabhanti kuyakufuneka kwicandelo lezizwe ngezizwe, ngokufuneka okungakumbi kuphuhliso lwezinto ezikhoyo kwicandelo lasekhaya," wongeze watsho. Ugqirha Hardy uqukumbele ngokukhumbuza icandelo lezokuhamba ukuba, “Izitofu zifumaneka simahla kwaye izitofu ziqhubeka ngokukhawuleza, kodwa nangona kunjalo, kwaye ngelixa iziphumo zokuqala zikhuthaza kakhulu, ukusebenza kwazo ngaphezulu kwenani labemi kusafuneka kuboniswe ngokupheleleyo . Kusenokwenzeka ukuba abahambi kwixesha elizayo kuya kufuneka baphathe ubungqina bokuba inoculation kwaye banikwe i-COVID-19 yasimahla, into eyenziweyo ziiarhente ezahlukeneyo kunye neenqwelomoya. Nokuba siyintoni na isiphumo, uhambo alusoze luphinde lufane kwaye akukho ndlela yimbi sinokuyenza ngaphandle kokuziqhelanisa nokuziqhelanisa nayo. ”