Idatha yamva nje, ehlalutya umthamo wokuhamba ngenqwelomoya, ukhangelo lwenqwelomoya kunye nentengiselwano yokubhukisha inqwelomoya engaphezulu kwe-17 lezigidi ngosuku, ityhila ukuba ukukhula kohambo lomoya lwamazwe ngamazwe ngo-2019, njengoko kulinganiswe ngohambo lwabakhweli, kukhule nge-4.5%. Oko kungaphambili ngokusempilweni kuhlumo loqoqosho lwehlabathi, kodwa lukhula kancinci kakhulu kunonyaka ophelileyo, nge-6.0%; kwaye iyacotha kunendlela ebeqhelekile kule minyaka ilishumi idlulileyo, ekwi-avareji ye-6.8% ngonyaka. Nangona kunjalo, imbonakalo yeenyanga ezintathu ezizayo inethemba kakhulu, ngokubhukishwa kwenqwelomoya njengaku-1^st NgoJanuwari 2020 bemi kwi-8.3% phambi kwendawo ababekuyo ekuqaleni kuka-2019.

U-Olivier Ponti, i-VP Insights, i-ForwardKeys, uthe: "Ngesiqhelo, ukuhamba ngeenqwelo moya kukhula malunga neepesenti ezintathu ngaphambi kweGDP yehlabathi. Nangona kunjalo, kulo nyaka uphelileyo, sibone imisitho emininzi ebambe ukukhula; ezi ziquka iingxabano zorhwebo zase-US kunye neKhanada, i-China, iMexico kunye ne-EU, udushe eChile, eFransi, eHong Kong naseIndiya, ukusekwa kwenqwelomoya entsha ye-Boeing 737 Max, ubunqolobi eSri Lanka, ukuvela 'kwehlazo lokubhabha' kunye ukutshona kweJet Airways.”

Ngelixa uhambo lwenqwelomoya lukhula kwiindawo ezininzi zehlabathi ngo-2019, bekukho umahluko obonakalayo; Utyeshelo lomqathango lwamazwe ngamazwe olusuka kuMbindi Mpuma lwehle nge-2.4%. Oyena nobangela woku yaba kukungabinamali kweJet Airways, eyayinefuthe lokunciphisa umthamo wokubhabha phakathi koMbindi Mpuma kunye neIndiya. Ukuhamba phakathi kwamazwe akuMbindi Mpuma kukhule nge-0.7% ngelixa ukuya kwezinye iindawo zehlabathi kwehle nge-3.9%.

Ummandla obalaseleyo ngokukhula kweenqwelomoya zamazwe ngamazwe ngo-2019 yayiyi-Asia Pacific, apho uhambo lwamazwe ngamazwe lukhule nge-7.7%, lubonisa ukukhula koqoqosho olomeleleyo kulo mmandla. Ukuhamba phakathi kwamazwe akummandla we-Asia Pacific kukhule ngamandla ngakumbi, nge-8.7%. IYurophu yenze kakuhle kakhulu njengendawo yokusingwa, ibhalise ukukhula kwe-11.7% kwimakethi ye-Asia Pacific, iphakanyiswe ziindlela ezintsha, kulandela unyaka wokhenketho oyimpumelelo we-EU-China.

Ummandla okwindawo yesibini yaba yiAfrika. Apho, uhambo lwamazwe ngamazwe lukhule nge-7.5%. Abona baqhubi babalulekileyo yayikukunyuka komthamo kunye neendlela ze-Ethiopian Airlines - umthamo phakathi kwe-Addis Ababa neDelhi, i-Guangzhou, i-Jakarta, i-Manila ne-Seoul, kunye neenqwelomoya ezintsha eziya e-Bangalore zisuka e-Addis naseNew York zisuka e-Abidjan. Ezinye iinqwelomoya zongeze iindlela zase-Afrika, eziquka i-Air China phakathi kwe-Johannesburg ne-Shenzhen, i-China Southern phakathi kwe-Nairobi ne-Shenzhen, i-Kenya Airways phakathi kwe-Nairobi ne-New York, i-LATAM Airlines phakathi kwe-Johannesburg kunye ne-Sao Paulo kunye ne-Royal Air Maroc phakathi kwe-Casablanca ne-Boston ne-Miami.

Ummandla okwindawo yesithathu ibiziMelika, apho uhambo lwamazwe ngamazwe lukhule nge-4.8%. Ukuhamba phakathi kwamazwe akummandla kukhule nge-3.2%. Intsebenzo ephawulekayo yayikukukhula kohambo oluya kweminye imimandla yehlabathi, eyayinyuke nge-6.8%, incedwa ngamandla aqhubekayo edola, unxibelelwano olutsha kwiindawo ezininzi zehlabathi kunye nokubuyiswa kwe-Egypt neTurkey njengeendawo zokusingwa.

Uhambo oluphuma eYurophu lukhule nge-3.7%. Ukuhamba phakathi kwamazwe aseYurophu kukhule nge-3.3% kwaye ukuya kwamanye amazwekazi kukhule nge-5.5%.

Ukukhangela kwikamva, umfanekiso wehlabathi uphucukile ngakumbi; kwaye iAfrika yeyona marike ibalaseleyo. Nje ngo1^st NgoJanuwari, ubhukisho lwamazwe ngamazwe luhamba phambili nge-12.5%, i-10.0% kwamanye amazwe ase-Afrika kunye ne-13.5% kwihlabathi liphela. Njengendawo ekusingwa kuyo, i-Afrika nayo kulindeleke ukuba iqhube kakuhle, njengoko ukubhukisha okuvela kwamanye amazwekazi ngoku kuphambi kwe-12.9%.

Imakethi yesibini ethembisayo ephumayo yiYurophu, ngokubhukishelwa kumazwe ngamazwe kwikota yokuqala nge-10.5% ngaphambili. Ukubhukisha phakathi kwamazwe aseYurophu kungaphambili nge-9.6% kwaye ukubhukisha kwamanye amazwekazi kungaphambili nge-11.8%.

Kwindawo yesithathu, yiAsia Pacific, apho ubhukisho lwamazwe ngamazwe luphambi kwe-8.3%. Phakathi kwamazwe angaphakathi kummandla, ukubhukisha kungaphambili nge-7.7% kwaye ukubhukisha ixesha elide kungaphambili nge-9.7%.

Ukomelela okuqhubekayo kwedola kubonakala kungumqhubi wento eyenzekayo eMelika, apho ukubhukisha iinqwelomoya zamazwe ngamazwe kuyi-4.7% ngaphambili. Apho, ukubhukisha okuya kwamanye amazwe ngaphakathi kweMelika kungaphambili nje nge-1.7% kodwa ngaphambili nge-8.8% kwamanye amazwekazi.

Imbonakalo yokuhamba kuMbindi Mpuma iqala ukujonga phezulu. Ikota yokuqala yamazwe ngamazwe, ukubhukisha phambili kuyi-2.2% ngaphambi apho bebeku-1^st NgoJanuwari 2019. Phakathi kwamazwe angaphakathi kulo mmandla, ukubhukisha kungaphezulu nge-6.8% kodwa ukubhukisha ixesha elide kungaphambili nge-0.4%. Nangona kunjalo, idatha ye-ForwardKeys ixela kwangaphambili ukubulawa kwe-USA ka-Qasem Soleimani, isiganeko esinokuguqula imbonakalo yokuhamba, ngakumbi ukuba imeko yezopolitiko iya isiba mandundu.

U-Olivier Ponti, i-VP Insights, i-ForwardKeys, uqukumbele ngelithi: “Ukuhamba kwikota yokuqala ka-2020 kujongeka kulungeleka, kuhambo olude olubonisa ukukhula olomeleleyo kunohambo lwangaphakathi lwengingqi. Ezi ziindaba ezikhuthazayo kwishishini njengoko ngokuya abantu behamba, kokukhona bethanda ukuchitha ngaphezulu. ”