Impembelelo kwiShishini loKhenketho laseMelika kunye noKhenketho elihlalutyiweyo: Uyibuyisela njani i-COVID-19?

Namhlanje uMongameli wase-US uTrump uthe iindleko zokuvala i-US yokuhamba kunye neshishini lokhenketho (iihotele, iivenkile zokutyela, iinqwelomoya) malunga ne-30 yeebhiliyoni zeedola ngenyanga, kwaye urhulumente ulungiselela ukubuyisela ilahleko. Umongameli wachaza ukuba ayilotyala lomnini wehotele okanye kwindawo yokutyela, ukuba iindwendwe azisabonakali. “Urhulumente uyekile,” utshilo uMongameli uTrump.

Uhlalutyo olutsha olukhutshwe ngolwe-Lwesibini ziiprojekhthi zoMbutho woKhenketho wase-US ezinciphise ukuhamba ngenxa ye-coronavirus ziya kuthi zenze i-809 yezigidigidi zeedola kuqoqosho lwase-US kunye nokuphelisa imisebenzi yaseMelika enxulumene nokuhamba eyi-4.6 yezigidi kulo nyaka. Ingeniso ngoMatshi nango-Epreli iya kuba ngama-75% ngaphantsi koqhelekileyo.

Amanani eempembelelo ezimbi, alungiselelwe uMbutho woKhenketho wase-US nguQoqosho lwezoKhenketho, aziswa nguMongameli woMbutho woKhenketho wase-US kunye ne-CEO uRoger Dow kwintlanganiso yangoLwesibini yeWhite House noMongameli Trump, uSekela Mongameli uPence, uNobhala wezoRhwebo uWilbur Ross, kunye nezinye iinkokheli zohambo.

"Ingxaki yezempilo ithathe ingqalelo yoluntu kunye norhulumente, kodwa intlekele ebangelwe ngabaqeshi kunye nabasebenzi sele ilapha kwaye iza kuya isiba mandundu," utshilo uDow ngoLwesibini. “Amashishini anxulumene nokuhamba aqesha abantu baseMelika abazizigidi ezili-15.8, kwaye ukuba abanako ukugcina izibane zabo zivulekile, abanakukwazi ukuqhubeka behlawula abasebenzi babo. Ngaphandle kwamanyathelo obundlongondlongo nangxamisekileyo, inqanaba lokuchacha liza kuba lide kwaye libe nzima, kwaye amanqanaba asezantsi kwinqanaba lezoqoqosho aya kuziva elibi kakhulu. ”

UDow uqaphele ukuba iipesenti ezingama-83 zabaqeshi bokuhamba ngamashishini amancinci.

Ezinye iziphumo ezibalaseleyo kuhlalutyo lwempembelelo yokuhamba:

• Inkcitho iyonke kukhenketho e-US- uthutho, indawo yokuhlala, ivenkile, iindawo ezinomtsalane kunye neeresityu- kuqikelelwa ukuba kwehle nge-355 yezigidigidi ngonyaka, okanye i-31%. Oko kungaphezulu kwamaxesha amathandathu kwimpembelelo ye-9/11.
• Ilahleko eziqikelelweyo zeshishini lokuhamba zodwa zinzima ngokwaneleyo ukuba zityhale i-US kwimeko yokudodobala kwexesha elide-kulindeleke ukuba ihlale ubuncinci kwikota ezintathu, nge-Q2 2020 iyeyona ndawo iphantsi.
• Uqikelelo lwe-4.6 yezigidi zemisebenzi enxulumene nohambo elahlekileyo, iyodwa, iphantse yaliphinda kabini inqanaba lokungabikho kwemisebenzi e-US (3.5% ukuya ku-6.3%).

"Le meko ayinakuze yenzeke," utshilo uDow. "Ngenxa yempilo yexesha elide yezoqoqosho, abaqeshi nabasebenzi bafuna ukukhululeka ngoku kule ntlekele ibangelwe ziimeko ezingaphaya kolawulo lwabo."

Kwintlanganiso yangoLwesibini yeWhite House, uDow ukhuthaze ulawulo ukuba luqwalasele i-150 yeebhiliyoni zeedola kwisibonelelo ngokubanzi kwicandelo lokuhamba ngokubanzi. Phakathi kweendlela ezicetyiswayo:

• Ukuseka iNgxowa-mali yokuQinisa abasebenzi
• Ukubonelela ngeZiko lokuThintela ukuNgxamiseka kwamashishini okuhamba
• Ukulungiselela kunye nokuguqula iinkqubo zemboleko ze-SBA ukuxhasa amashishini amancinci kunye nabasebenzi.

IOxford Economics, ngokubambisana nenkampani encedisayo yezoKhenketho kuQoqosho, ilinganise ukuhla okulindelweyo kushishino lokuhamba lwase-US ngo-2020 ngenxa yeCoronavirus. Emva koko silinganise iimpembelelo zoqoqosho kwezi lahleko zeshishini lokuhamba ngokwe-GDP, ukungasebenzi, kunye neerhafu.

Ukuphulukana neShishini loKhenketho Ukwehla kwe-31% kunyaka wonke kulindeleke.

Oku kubandakanya ukwehla ngama-75% kwingeniso kwezi nyanga zimbini zizayo kunye nelahleko eqhubekekayo kunyaka ophela efikelela kwi-355 yezigidigidi zeedola. Ilahleko ye-GDP Ilahleko kushishino lokuhamba iya kukhokelela kwimpembelelo ye-GDP eqokelelweyo ye- $ 450 yezigidigidi ngo-2020.

Siqikelela uqoqosho lwaseMelika ukuba lungene kudodobalo lwexesha elide ngokusekwe ekuwohlokeni okulindelweyo kuhambo kuphela. Ukwehla kwamandla emali kungenzeka ukuba kuhlale ubuncinci iikota ezintathu ngeyona ndawo iphantsi kwikota yesibini yowama-2020. Ukuphulukana neRhafu Ukwehla kwe- $ 55 yezigidigidi zerhafu kuya kufezekiswa ngenxa yokwehla kohambo ngo-2020.

Ukuphulukana nengqesho Uqoqosho lwaseMelika kuqikelelwa ukuba luzakuphulukana nemisebenzi ezizizigidi ezi-4.6 ngenxa yokwehla kohambo ngowama-2020. Izinga lentswela-ngqesho le-3.5% ngoFebruwari liza kunyuka kakhulu kwiinyanga ezizayo. Ukulahleka kwemisebenzi okunxulumene nokuhamba kuphela kuya kutyhala inqanaba lokungabikho kwemisebenzi ukuya kwi-6.3% kwezi nyanga zimbalwa zizayo.

Ithuba lexesha Elona thuba likhulu lokunciphisa ezi lahleko kukunciphisa ixesha elifunekayo lokuchacha kwakhona.

Ngelixa amaxesha okuchacha aqhelekileyo avela kwisifo esimalunga nengxaki yezigulo ukusuka kwiinyanga ezili-12-16, oku kungancitshiswa ngokwenyusa ubuchule kunye nenkxaso kushishino lokuhamba. Sihlalutye iimeko ezimbini zokunciphisa ixesha lelahleko.

Imeko yoku-1: UKUPHILA NGOKUGQIBELELEYO KUQALA NGOJUNI Imeko ithatha ukuba ukubuyela umva ngokupheleleyo kufezekisiwe ngoJuni.

Inyanga nganye ukusukela kuJuni-Disemba ibonelela ngexabiso eliphakathi le-17.8 yezigidigidi kwi-GDP kunye ne- $ 2.2 yezigidigidi zerhafu. Zizonke izibonelelo ziya kuthi zifike kwi-100 yezigidi zeedola kwishishini lokuhamba, i-15 yezigidigidi zerhafu, kunye ne-1.6 yezigidi zemisebenzi ebuyiselweyo. UMBONO WESI-2: I-50% YOKUQHUTYWA KOKUQHUTYWA KOKUQALA NGOJUNI Imeko ithatha ukuba ukubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kukhawuleziswa ngama-50% (xa kuthelekiswa nokusebenza okulindelweyo) ukuqala ngoJuni. Kule meko, inyanga nganye ibonelela ngexabiso elinokubakho le-8.9 yezigidigidi kwi-GDP kunye ne-1.1 yezigidigidi zerhafu.

Zizonke izibonelelo ziya kuthi zifike kwi-50 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi kwingeniso yeshishini lokuhamba, i-7.7 yezigidigidi zerhafu, kunye nemisebenzi engama-823,000 ibuyiselwe