Ukuhamba kwamanye amazwe kuya kufikelela kwi-68% yamanqanaba angaphambi kwe-COVID-19 kwihlabathi jikelele ngo-2022 kwaye kulindeleke ukuba kuphucuke ukuya kuma-82% ngo-2023 kunye nama-97% ngo-2024, phambi kokuba kubuyiselwe ngokupheleleyo ngo-2025 kwi-101% yamanqanaba ka-2019, kunye noqikelelo. I-1.5 yebhiliyoni yokuhamba kumazwe ngamazwe.
Nangona kunjalo, umkhondo wokubuyela kwimeko yesiqhelo kuhambo lwamazwe ngamazwe awungqamene nemimandla okanye amazwe.
Uhambo lwamazwe ngamazwe lusuka kuMntla Melika lubonise ukuphucuka ngo-2021 njengoko ukusuka kumazwe ngamazwe kukhule nge-15% unyaka nonyaka. I i-USA yavuka ukuze ibe yimarike yohambo oluphumayo olukhulu kwihlabathi ngo-2021. Ngo-2022, ukusuka kuMntla Merika kuqikelelwa ukuba kufikelelwe kwi-69% yamanqanaba ka-2019, ngaphambi kokuba kubuyiselwe ngokupheleleyo ngo-2024, kwi-102% yamanqanaba ka-2019, ngaphambi kweminye imimandla.
Ukuhamba kwamanye amazwe ukusuka kumazwe aseYurophu kulindeleke ukuba kufikelele kwi-69% yamanani e-2019 kwi-2022. Njengoko ukuzithemba kokuhamba kuvuselela, imarike yangaphakathi yaseYurophu kulindeleke ukuba ixhamle, iqhutywe ngokukhethwa kohambo olufutshane.
Nangona kunjalo, ukubuyisela ukuhamba kufuneka kujongane nokunyuka kwamaxabiso, ukunyuka kweendleko zokuphila, kunye nemfazwe yaseUkraine. Ngo-2025, ukuhamba kwamanye amazwe kuqikelelwa ukuba kube yi-98% yamanqanaba ka-2019. Ngokwejografi, imfazwe ayikanwenwanga ngaphaya kwemida yaseUkraine. Nangona kunjalo, iRussia yayiyeyesihlanu imarike yohambo oluphumayo emhlabeni ngo-2019, ngelixa iUkraine yayiyeyeshumi elinesibini. Ukuqhubela phambili, ukuhamba okulinganiselweyo okuphuma kula mazwe kuya kuthintela ukubuyiswa kokhenketho ngokubanzi kweYurophu.
I-Asia-Pacific kulindeleke ukuba ibambezeleke malunga nokuchacha. Utyeshelo lomqathango oluphuma kummandla luya kufikelela kuphela kwi-67% yamanqanaba ka-2019 ngo-2022, ngenxa yokususwa okucothayo kwezithintelo zokuhamba, kunye nokuthambekela kokuhlaziywa kwezithintelo zasekhaya ngexesha lokuqhambuka kwe-COVID-19. Nje ukuba ummandla kunye neyona marike inkulu yokuhambahambayo emhlabeni, iTshayina ayibonisi naziphi na iimpawu zokuyekelela imida yayo engqongqo kwixesha elifutshane. Ngo-2021, ukuhamba kwamanye amazwe ukusuka e-China kwakuyi-2% kuphela yamanqanaba ka-2019.
Ngelixa uhambo lwamazwe ngamazwe lusetelwe ukubuyela kumanqanaba angaphambi kobhubhane ngo-2025, imfuno yokhenketho inokubonakala yahlukile. Ukususela kwiminyaka emibini yohambo oluncinci kakhulu, utshintsho oluninzi lwexesha elide kunye neendlela zexesha elifutshane ziye zavela. Abathengi ngoku balindeleke ukuba balandele amava ayinyani, bafune iminikelo yokuhamba eyeyakho, ukudibanisa ishishini kunye nohambo lokuzonwabisa, kwaye babe nokuqonda ngakumbi ifuthe labo lokusingqongileyo.
Kusekho indlela ende yokufikelela kwimeko eqhelekileyo. Nangona kunjalo, ukuchacha okugcweleyo okunokubakho ngo-2025 mva nje kunika isizathu esilungileyo sokuba ishishini lokuhamba kunye nokhenketho libe nethemba ngekamva.
INTO ONOKUYITHATHA KWELI NQAKU:
- International departures will reach 68% of the pre-COVID-19 levels globally in 2022 and are expected to improve to 82% in 2023 and 97% in 2024, before making a full recovery by 2025 at 101% of 2019 levels, with a projected 1.
- In 2022, outbound departures from North America are projected to reach 69% of 2019 levels, before making a full recovery by 2024, at 102% of 2019 levels, ahead of other regions.
- Outbound departures from the region will only reach 67% of 2019 levels in 2022, owing to the relatively slower removal of travel restrictions, and the propensity for renewed domestic restrictions during COVID-19 outbreaks.
