Ngelixa iindawo zaseIndiya zafumana izandyondyo zemvula ngoJuni ngenxa yemonsoon, i-El Niño iya kuphinda izinze, ibangele ukuba imonsoon ibe buthathaka, phezu kwendawo engaphezulu yoLwandlekazi lwaseIndiya nakwimpuma yeAsia.
Ngexesha lexesha eliqhelekileyo le-monsoon, ubushushu buyakha phambi kwesiganeko, emva koko iimvula ezijikelezayo, iindudumo kunye neenkqubo zetropiki zizisa imvula enkulu kunye ne-India epholileyo kunye neendawo ezininzi ezingqongileyo zase-Asia-mpuma ye-Asia.
I-El Niño linqanaba elifudumeleyo lokuguquguquka kwamaqondo obushushu kumphezulu wolwandle kuLwandlekazi lwePasifiki olushushu olukholisa ukuzisa inani elingaphezu komndilili lezaqhwithi kuLwandlekazi lwePasifiki. Ulungelelwaniso lwendalo lukholisa ukunciphisa ukusebenza kwetropikhi kwaye kungoko kucutha imvula kwindawo ephezulu yoLwandlekazi lwaseIndiya.
Umngeni wokuxela kwangaphambili kunye nesiganeko esingaziwayo, esibizwa ngokuba yi-Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) yabangela ukuba i-monsoon yomeleze okwethutyana. Oku kushukuma kwemvula kunye neendudumo ezithanda ukufuduka ukusuka entshona ukuya empuma ukujikeleza imimandla yeikhweyitha yeglowubhu.
Ngokuka-AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist uJason Nicholls, "Ngethuba likaJuni, i-MJO pulse yatshintshela kwimpuma yendawo yoLwandlekazi lwaseIndiya kwaye yahlala ixesha elide."
"Imvula yayiyi-16 yeepesenti ngaphezu kwesiqhelo kwi-India xa iyonke ngoJuni ngenxa yokusebenzisana ne-El Niño kunye ne-MJO pulse," i-AccuWeather Meteorologist u-Eric Leister uthe.
Ubungakanani bommandla wembalela buya kuba mncinci, xa kuthelekiswa nohlalutyo lwangaphambili. Izantyalantyala zemvula kwiindawo ezithile ngoJuni ziya kunciphisa impembelelo yexabiso lemvula esezantsi ukuya phambili.
Ukucinga ukuba i-pulse ayiphinde ibuyele kummandla kude kube yikwindla, i-El Niño kunye ne-avareji yobushushu bamanzi ukusuka eSomalia ukuya kuLwandle lwaseArabia iya kucothisa ukufika kwemonsoon okanye inciphise impembelelo yayo ukusuka entshonalanga ye-Indiya ukuya kuninzi lwePakistan ngoJulayi no-Agasti.
Inxalenye yale ndawo inoxanduva lobuninzi bezityalo eziziinkozo kunye nezolimo ngokubanzi. Iintsuku ezininzi zobushushu obunobungozi bunokwenzeka kulo mgxobhozo.
"Nangona uninzi lwemozulu yase-Asiya yasehlotyeni luhlala lungaguquki kubandakanywa nokuhlaselwa kwezaqhwithi, silindele imvula encinci kunokuba bekucingelwa ngaphambili ukusuka kumbindi weIndiya, kubandakanya iMadhya Pradesh, ukuya eOdisha, eIndiya," utshilo uNicholls.
Kulo mmandla, ezinye izaqhwithi ezingakumbi zinokubakho.
I-monsoon ebuthakathaka evela kwimiphumo ye-El Niño iya kubangela ukuba imijikelo yemvula enamandla iyancipha ukusuka eBhutan nakumazantsi eTibet ukuya kwiindawo ezisemantla eLaos naseVietnam, kunye nakumazantsi ombindi weChina.
Kumazantsi e-Indochina, iimeko zomileyo zangoku ziya kuthambekela kwiimvula eziqhelekileyo njengoko ihlobo liqhubeka. Nangona kunjalo kumazantsi eThailand, eMalaysia, eSingapore nase-Indonesia kuya kubalela ngakumbi ngokwakhiwa kwembalela okanye kuya kusiba mandundu.
"Nokuba enye i-pulse ibinokuphuhla kwingingqi ngasekupheleni kwehlobo okanye ngexesha lekwindla, kunokuba kudala kakhulu ukuguqula imbalela ePakistan nakumantla ntshona eIndiya," utshilo uNicholls.
Imonsoon ebuthathaka inokuba nempembelelo enkulu kumaqondo obushushu kummandla.
Okukhona imonsoon yomelele, kokukhona umoya unyuka kwaye uphola kwindawo ekufutshane nayo. Kwangoko ngaphandle kwemonsoon enamandla, umoya uyatshona kwaye ufudumeza kakhulu.
"Nge-monsoon ebuthakathaka, iindawo ezingaphakathi ziya kufudumala, ngelixa iindawo ezikufutshane ngaphandle kwayo ziya kuba zishushu ngaphezu komyinge ngenxa yembalela yesakhiwo, mhlawumbi kungekhona kakhulu," kusho uNichols.
Kuya kubakho ukuhamba komoya ofumileyo kuninzi lommandla, okukhokelela kwizaqhwithi ezinamabala kakhulu, kodwa kwakhona kubangele ubushushu obuphezulu be-AccuWeather RealFeel®, bufikelele kwi-100 F okanye ngaphezulu kweentsuku ezininzi.
Izantyalantyala zemvula eziye zenzeka ngoJuni, zanceda ekudaleni ubushushu obugqithiseleyo ngoJuni phezu kwePakistan nakwiindawo ezithile zaseIndiya.
