I-bubble yase-Dubai: Ngaba uza kugqabhuka?

Iingcali zeshishini zigxininise ukomelela kweemarike zommandla kwaye zacela ukuba kupheliswe intelekelelo yokuba ihotele e-Dubai nabamelwane bayo babeyinxalenye ye "bubble" yethutyana.

Igqala lehotele uGerhard Hardick, igosa eliyintloko elisebenza kumcebisi wokwamkela iindwendwe uRoya International, uthe wayecinga ukuba iqamza alizukugqabhuka kodwa ligqabhuke, okukhokelela kushishino olukhulu ngakumbi. “Siba ncinci kakhulu kwibhatyi yethu xa ucinga ngalo lonke uphuhliso olukhulu kummandla wonke,” utshilo. “Eyona ndlela ilungileyo yokuqikelela ikamva kukuyibumba ngokwethu. IDubai ikwenzile oku kwaye umbono weDubai ngoku uyafezekiswa. ”

Esalatha kwimiceli-mngeni yokwenene ejongene neshishini lokwamkela iindwendwe kwingingqi, uthe inkonzo yenye indawo apho imigangatho iye yehla ngokuhamba kwexesha. “Le yinto ekufuneka siyijongile ngoku njengoko ingundoqo kwisindululo sexabiso esilinikayo kodwa kulo mba, ukunyuka kobonelelo kuya kuwusombulula umba kwangethuba,” utshilo.

Umphathi oyintloko we-Oqyana Limited uGqr. Wadad al Suwayeh uthe isixeko saseDubai njengendawo yokhenketho siphembelela i-GDP yayo yeebhiliyoni ezili-108, ixhaswa ngamacandelo ahlukeneyo asuka kwisikhululo seenqwelomoya sangoku saseDubai esibonelela abakhweli abazizigidi ezingama-29 (kubandakanywa nesikhululo seenqwelomoya esitsha seJebel Ali kuphela abathwali bamazwe angaphandle kwaye ijolise ekuncedeni abakhweli abazizigidi ezili-120 ngonyaka), iGunya leZibuko laseDubai kunye neJebel Ali Free Zone kumaqumrhu awohlukeneyo okhenketho.

Ukuhlala kwiihotele eDubai kufikelele kwiipesenti ezingama-85 xa kuthelekiswa nezaseHong Kong (iipesenti ezingama-83.8), iSydney (iipesenti ezingama-76.6), iTokyo (iipesenti ezingama-73) neLondon (iipesenti ezingama-71.9). Kukho ukukhula ngepesenti ezi-3 ukukhula ngonyaka ukusuka kwi-82.06 yeepesenti ngo-2006 ukuya kuma-84.04 epesenti ngo-2007, isenza i-Dubai ibe yindawo ekuyiwa kuyo iyodwa, ngelixa isonyusa ukubekeka kubabukeli bezokhenketho kwihlabathi liphela.

USuwayeh wongeze ukuba ukuhlala kunye nomyinge we-avareji yemihla ngemihla eDubai uya kusuka kwimeko "engaqhelekanga" aye kwimeko yesiqhelo. Iziphumo ziya kuba ntle ngakumbi kwaye ziya kuba nomdla wokubukela. “Nangona kunjalo, ukuba zingaphaya kwama-600-700 iihotele eziza kungena eDubai, kuyakubakho ukukhula okungagungqiyo okuzisa ukukhula okuncitshisiweyo ngendlela esithe sayibona kule minyaka ilishumi idlulileyo. Andiqondi ukuba kuya kubakho isiphumo esibi kwibhola. Kuye kwatshiwo ukusukela ngo-10 ukuba inqaku lisafikelelwa; Bayichazile ukusukela kwiminyaka yokugqibela ye-1986 (kodwa akukho lungiso kwintengiso alukangqineli eli nqanaba). Kodwa kwixa elizayo, aba batyali mali abenze utyalomali eDubai kwiminyaka emi-16 ukuya kwemine edlulileyo kuya kufuneka bamkele imigaqo eyamkelweyo lihlabathi liphela, utshilo uSuwayeh.

“Indawo ekuyiwa kuyo eDubai ibonakalisile ukuba ingazilinganisela kwaye izilinganise. Xa zonke iihotele ezintsha zisiza, amaxabiso awazukuwa kodwa endaweni yoko ayakunyuka ngokwamanqanaba njengoko sinjalo namhlanje, utshilo uHardick, owongeze ukuba kukho umgca wotyalo-mali eMelika kule nxalenye yehlabathi, kodwa encinci.

Wongezelela wathi: “Uninzi lotyalo-mali kulo mmandla wehlabathi luvela kulo mmandla wehlabathi. Yiyo loo nto nakuphi na ukucotha koqoqosho lwase-US akuyi kuchaphazela imeko yotyalo-mali apha. Izalathisi azibonisi ukuba iqamza sele liza kugqabhuka. Ukungasebenzi kwintshukumo kwi-real estate akubonisi ukucotha. Le ndawo ikhethekileyo yaseDubai isabambe imakethi enkulu engekasetyenziswa eDubai, efana neTshayina, i-subcontinent kunye nommandla ngokwawo ukhuthazwa ngabantu abazizigidi ezingama-400 kulo mmandla wehlabathi (xa kuthelekiswa ne-Dubai's 200 million feeder market eYurophu). Nakuphi na ukucotha eNtshona ngokuqinisekileyo akuyi kuyichaphazela iDubai. ”

U-Arif Mubarak, i-CEO ye-Bawadi, uthe imakethi yase-US ayizange ibe yintengiso ephambili e-Dubai naphi na kummandla. “Besisoloko sijonga iiyure ezili-14 ukuya kwezili-16 ngenqwelomoya ukuya eDubai sisuka e-US, nto leyo engasiniki thuba lihle lokubamba. Asizukuchaphazeleka eDubai ngokucotha. ”

Uthe iBawadi yindawo yodwa, inotyalo-mali ehotele ngokwalo. “Senza iiprojekthi kunye namaqabane ethu asekuhlaleni afana ne-Emaar. Amaqabane eshishini elidibeneyo sele etyale imali kuthi. Sijolise ukwenza inzuzo, nangona iindleko zokwakha zinyukile. Ulwakhiwo aluyi kuba nefuthe kwimbuyekezo yehotele yethu ngelixa sihleli kwicala eliphezulu lembuyekezo yotyalo-mali. Ukuba kunokubakho ithontsi, ayizukuthatha xesha lide noko,” utshilo uMubarak.

Kuludwe lweenkwenkwezi zehotele, uDaniel Hajjar, ophethe iqabane elitsha leLiaia Hospitality, uvumile le mbono kwaye wachaza ukuba kubaluleke kakhulu kwikamva elikufutshane ukugxila ekuphuhliseni iipropathi kwinqanaba eliphakathi kunye nohlahlo-lwabiwo mali ukuya kuthi ga kwi-US $ 150 kuluhlu lobusuku. "Ukukhula kwe-Dubai, ngakumbi malunga nokutsala iindibano ezinkulu kunye neminyhadala, kubalulekile ukuqala ukwenza utyalo-mali kule ndawo," utshilo.

UMubarak uthe amaziko endibano kunye nenkxaso ye-MICE kubandakanya i-Bawadi hub izokunceda ekubambeni imakethi yendibano, nokuba iDubai kuya kufuneka ithathe amaqela angaphaya kwempahla ekhoyo ngoku.

Iingcali ziye zavumelana nembono ye-bullish yecandelo lokwamkela iindwendwe kuMbindi Mpuma, kunye noGerald Lawless, usihlalo olawulayo weJumeirah Group, ebhekisa kuphando lwakutsha nje oluvela kwi-Mastercard edize ukuba malunga ne-3.63 yetriliyoni yeedola yayityaliwe kwiiprojekthi ezinxulumene nokuhamba ukuya kuthi ga ngonyaka ka-2020.

"Malunga ne-170 yezigidi zokufika kulindeleke ngalo nyaka (2020), kwaye iihotele ezintsha ezingama-830 ziphantsi kophuhliso ukunika amagumbi angama-750,000 kummandla wonke, utshilo.

Ukujongana nomba wokuba ngaba olu hlumo luzinzile, u-Lawless uthe impendulo yalala ekugcineni inqanaba lotyalo-mali kwibhodi yonke, kunye nokwandiswa kwee-airlines ezifana ne-Emirates kunye nophuhliso oluhambelanayo kummandla, e-Abu Dhabi, e-Oman naseQatar, umzekelo. . “Le asiyonto yethutyana. Inde indlela ekusafuneka siyihambe,” wongeze watsho

Amanani asuka kwinkampani yophicotho esekwe e-US i-HVS Research ixhase lo mbono unethemba, ngophando oluthiwe thaca ngumlawuli olawulayo uRussell Kett eveza amanani obonelelo olutsha oluya phezulu kumagumbi ehotele angama-90,000 aphantsi kophuhliso eDubai kuphela, ngaphandle kweprojekthi enkulu yeBawadi eya kubandakanya amagumbi angama-60,000 ngaphezulu. amaqela amathathu. UKett uthe phantse i-10,000 yamagumbi ongezelelweyo acetywayo eSaudi Arabia nase-Oman; enye 11,000 e Qatar, ezinye 7,000 e Jordan kunye 13,000 eYiputa, ngelixa iimarike ezincinci ezifana Bahrain phantse 6,000 amagumbi phantsi kophuhliso kunye nezinye 3,000 zicwangciswe Kuwait.