Igama elinye lichaza iBrexit kunye nefuthe elinokubakho lonxibelelwano lweBritane namanye amazwe nje ukuba ishiye iManyano yaseYurophu – ukubhideka. Akukho mntu ucacileyo malunga nefuthe leemeko ezahlukeneyo - i-Brexit enzima, i-Brexit ethambileyo, okanye akukho nto.
Ingcali yezoQoqosho uLord Desai wayebufiphele xa wabhengeza kwintlanganiso yoluntu ukuba izinga lokungalungeli kukarhulumente waseBhritane liyothusa. Ukwathe urhulumente akanalo nofifi lokuba makathini xa kuvotwa ngokuchaseneyo noHlala. Akukho mntu wayevumile ukuba yintoni isivumelwano sorhwebo ngokukhululekileyo okanye wacacisa ukuba kuthatha ixesha elide ukuthetha-thethana ngezi zivumelwano. Lo mbono uvakaliswe kwintlanganiso enye eLondon, eququzelelwe yiForam yeDemokhrasi, ngomnye umhlalutyi wezoqoqosho, uLinda Yueh. Wayenomzekeliso owonwabisayo. Wathi ukuba iBritane iqalise uthethathethwano lwezorhwebo nelinye ilizwe ngeli lixa yayiseyinxalenye ye-EU kwakufana nokuthethathethana ngomtshato wakho olandelayo ngoxa wawusekunye nomfazi wakho wangaphambili.
Awona mazwe akhula ngokukhawuleza aseAsia kwaye iBritane ithengisa kakhulu kumazwe angaphandle kune-EU. Ke, iyavakala ukuba i-UK ijonge amathuba e-Asiya aya kuba nabathengi abakumgangatho ophakathi kwaye onke amazwe kuya kufuneka ajike aye e-Asia ngaxa lithile. I-snag yeyokuba ngelixa iBritane ililizwe lesibini ngobukhulu kumazwe angaphandle ngeenkonzo, uninzi lwezivumelwano zorhwebo aziquki iinkonzo. Kukwakho ukuthandabuza malunga nokuba iIndiya ingafuna iinkonzo zomthetho ezivela e-UK. Abahlalutyi balumkisa ukuba iBritane mayingacingi ukuba kuba ifuna ukuthumela ngaphandle iinkonzo amanye amazwe aya kubamkela.
Ke, kwenzeka ntoni kusuku emva kokuba iBritane ishiye ngokusemthethweni i-EU ngoMatshi 29, 2019? Abashiyekileyo babonisa ithemba eliqaqambileyo lokukhula korhwebo lwehlabathi. Nangona kunjalo, ukuba umntu ujonga izinto ezisebenzayo, kukho imiqobo emininzi ngaphambili. IBritane ayisayi kuba nesivumelwano sokurhweba ngokukhululekileyo kunye ne-EU, ngoko kuya kufuneka isebenze phantsi kwemithetho ye-WTO. Utshintsho aluyi kuba lula kuba onke amalungu ali-160 kunye namalungu e-WTO kuya kufuneka asayine kuzo naziphi na izivumelwano. Ukuba i-UK ikhetha imodeli yaseNorway kuya kufuneka yamkele ukuhamba kwabantu ngokukhululekile - kwaye le nto yayiyeyona nto iphambili eyenza iphulo lokuvota kweBrexit; abalandeli abaninzi babekuchasile ngamandla ukufudukela kwelinye ilizwe, ngakumbi ukusuka eYurophu.
Uthethathethwano ngekamva le-post-Brexit lubuhlungu kakhulu urhulumente wachaza ukuba uya kuqesha ukuya kuthi ga kwi-8,000 yamagosa aquka amagqwetha kunye nabasebenzi bakarhulumente ekupheleni konyaka ozayo njengoko etyhila amalungiselelo okushiya i-EU ngaphandle kwesivumelwano.
I-arch Brexiteer kunye ne-Conservative MP uJacob Rees-Mogg wavuma, kunokuthatha iminyaka eyi-50 ukufumana ingcamango ecacileyo yempembelelo yeBrexit kuqoqosho lwaseBrithani. Unobhala weBrexit, uDominic Raab, uye wavula iingxwabangxwaba xa evuma ukuba urhulumente kuya kufuneka athathe amanyathelo okuqinisekisa ukuba kukho ukutya okwaneleyo kweBritane ukugubungela isiganeko sokungahoywa kwe-European Union.
Ngokuchasene nale mvelaphi, abakwaBrexiteers bathetha ngamathuba okuba iBritane yandise urhwebo namazwe angengawo e-EU nje ukuba ikhefu liqale ukusebenza. Zombini i-Indiya kunye ne-UK bathethe ngethemba malunga nokubanakho ukwandisa amakhonkco nje ukuba i-Brexit isebenze. Igqiza elityeleleyo elivela kuManyano lwezoShishino lwaseIndiya, emva kokudibana nabalingane babo baseBritane kunye nabaphathiswa bakarhulumente, lathi kukho amathuba amatsha aza kuphononongwa, i-India ne-UK imele amazwe amabini aphambili kuqoqosho lwehlabathi. Noko ke, balumkise ngelithi ukunqongophala kwengcaciso kubambezela inkqubela. Umyalezo ophambili oya e-UK ovela kwiinkokeli zoshishino zaseIndiya wawuthe gca: “Kufuneka wenze isigqibo ngento ofuna ukuyenza. Bubomi bokwenyani obu kufuneka umntu aqhubeke nabo. Ukuyiqonda inyaniso kuya kuba luncedo olukhulu kuthi. Eli lithuba elilodwa lamacala omabini.”
UGqr David Landsman, uMlawuli oyiNtloko weqela likaTata kunye noSihlalo weCII-UK, wachaza amacandelo amaninzi avula intsebenziswano yase-India-UK. Enye indawo ephambili bubuchwepheshe obuphambili. I-Indiya ifuna abasebenzi abanezakhono kwiiyunivesithi eziphezulu. Uchonge ushishino lokwamkela iindwendwe, iimoto kunye nezobunjineli njengezinye iindawo ezilungele uphuhliso. Uye wathi i-India ne-UK kufuneka zibonise ngendlela yanamhlanje into abanokunikana ngayo. Nangona kwakukho amathuba amaninzi, uDkt Landsman wavuma ukuba i-overheads inokuphakama ngokuxhomekeke kumzekelo weBrexit.
Kukho kuso sonke isivumelwano esoyikekayo phakathi kweenkokheli zoshishino zaseIndiya malunga nesakhono esikhulu esilindele ukuxhunyaniswa nokukhula okuphindwe kabini kweIndiya kunye nolindelo lokuba kungekudala iza kudlula i-China njengoqoqosho oluphambili lwehlabathi. Nangona kunjalo, balatha kumcimbi omnye osasele usisithintelo esiphambili-ubunzima amaIndiya ajongene nawo ekufumaneni ii-visa zokuya e-UK. Bakhalazele ukuba abafundi baseIndiya, ngakumbi, abafumani sivumelwano ngokufanelekileyo. Kwagxininiswa ukuba uloyiko lwabafundi baseIndiya abashiya ii-visa zabo alunasihlahla kwaphela kuba kukho ubungqina bokuba i-95% yabafundi baseIndiya babuyela ekhaya bakuba begqibe izifundo zabo.
UMongameli weCII, uMnumzana Rakesh Bharti Mittal, ugxininisa amandla okuba i-Indiya iphinde ivuselele amakhonkco ezoqoqosho kunye norhwebo namanye amazwe e-Commonwealth, ngakumbi e-Afrika. I-Indiya lolona qoqosho lukhulu kwi-Commonwealth emele ibhloko enkulu yorhwebo. Ekunye nabanye kuluntu lwezoshishino, uMnu. Mittal unomdla wokuba i-Indiya kufuneka idlale indima ephambili kwi-Commonwealth.
Ubukho beNkulumbuso yaseNdiya, uNarendra Modi, kwiNtlanganiso yeeNtloko zoRhulumente we-Commonwealth e-UK ngo-Epreli yayithathwa njengomqondiso womdla ovuselelweyo waseIndiya kumbutho wamalungu angama-53. URichard Burge, iNtloko yeSigqeba soShishino kunye neBhunga loTyalo-mali, uthi “Undoqo kwimpumelelo yokuthunyelwa kwempahla kumazwe angaphandle kukuba nabarhwebi abaphumayo nabasomashishini ngaphandle. Umngcipheko we-UK kukuba emva kwamashumi eminyaka yokuthengisa kwi-EU (enyanisweni imarike yasekhaya) oosomashishini abaninzi baseBritane basenokuba baphulukene nombono wokuzonwabisa kunye nomnqweno wokufuna umngcipheko ofunwa yintengiso kumazwe angaphandle. Kodwa iindaba ezimnandi zezokuba i-Commonwealth ngoku yingqokelela yoqoqosho olukhulayo olukhulayo nolukhulayo olusekelwe kwidemokhrasi eyomelelayo neyomelelayo apho i-UK kufuneka ibe nentsebenziswano yendalo kunye ”.
Kukho uthelekiso olungenakuphepheka phakathi kweendlela zaseIndiya naseTshayina kwinqanaba lehlabathi. Ukugqogqa kweIndiya kwiziseko ezingundoqo kubonwa ngabathile abagqabaza njengokulungileyo xa kuthelekiswa nelaseTshayina, elithathwa njengongenelelo olukhulu kwimimandla ezimeleyo. Inkqubo yaseTshayina yeebhiliyoni zeerandi ezingama-62 yokwakha iziseko ezingundoqo ePakistan ithathwa ngabanye njengongenelelo kulawulo lwayo. Ngokufanayo, iSri Lanka iboleke iibhiliyoni zeedola eTshayina ukuphuhlisa iiprojekthi ezinkulu. Abagxeki boyika ukuba iSri Lanka ayinakukwazi ukubuyisela ezi mboleko zivumela i-China ukuba ithathe ulawulo lwezi projekthi zeziseko zophuhliso ezibalulekileyo, ibonelele ngobukho obucwangcisiweyo kweli lizwe.
Kwi-Indiya, i-EU, kunye neBritane njengelungu, ibonelela nge-counterweight kulawulo lwe-China e-Asia. Umbuzo obalulekileyo ngowokuba ingaba iBritane isaza kuthathwa yiIndiya njengeqabane elibalulekileyo kwezoqoqosho ngokwayo ngaphandle kwe-EU. Kutheni le nto i-Indiya inqwenela ukuthetha-thethana ngezivumelwano ezahlukeneyo neBhritane nje ukuba iyishiyile i-EU xa phantsi kwelungiselelo langoku ikwazi ukufikelela ngokukhawuleza kuwo onke amazwe angamalungu angama-27? Okwangoku, i-Indiya ibonakala izimisele ukuphonononga amathuba otyalo-mali kunye norhwebo kunye neBritane xa ishiya i-EU. Nangona kunjalo, umonde wayo unokuphela ukuba isiphithiphithi siyaqhubeka malunga nemiqathango yeBhritane yokuphuma eYurophu. Uluvo lweIndiya lolokuba, ngoku abantu baseBhritane bavotile, iBritane kufuneka ngoku iqhubeke nokuziqhelanisa nekamva elingaphandle kweManyano yaseYurophu. Ewe kunjalo, kusekho enye into enokwenzeka, iBrexit ayinakwenzeka konke konke. Ke, ngelixa kukho iingxoxo ezingapheliyo kunye neentelekelelo, ukubhideka kuyalawula.
