Ukutshintshiselana kwemali yamanye amazwe ukusuka kwiDola yaseMelika ukuya kwi-Yuan yaseTshayina? IPakistan inokuba sisiqalo kuphela…

I-Yuan-vs-Dollar
I-Yuan-vs-Dollar

Idola yaseMelika kudala yongamela indawo yentengiso yehlabathi, kwaye nokungeniswa kwe-Euro yi-European Union kungaphula ulawulo lwayo. Oku kuyinyani kurhwebo kwaye ngakumbi kushishino lokuhamba kunye nokhenketho lwehlabathi. Amazwe aquka i-Ecuador kunye ne-Zimbabwe basebenzisa i-Dola yaseMelika njengemali yabo kunye norhwebo lwamanye amazwe phakathi kwabaqhubi bezokhenketho kuhlala kwenziwa kwimali yase-US.

Ngoku, amandla anyukayo oqoqosho afuna ukuthintela ukuxhomekeka kwamazwe aphesheya kwi-greenback: China. Kwaye ngokutsho kwabanye abahlalutyi, kumashumi eminyaka ezayo amazwe ahlukeneyo anokuhendwa ukuba atshintshele kwi "redback".

I-China ayisebenzi kuphela kwicala lemali yorhwebo lwehlabathi, kodwa kutshanje iqalise umbutho omtsha wamazwe ngamazwe abaninzi bathi bayakhuphisana nayo. UNWTO, WTTC kunye ne-ETOA.

Ukuza kuthi ga ngoku, iBeijing ingena kwihlabathi liphela, kubandakanya nePakistan. La mazwe mabini aphuhlisa i-China-Pak ye-Economic Corridor (CPEC) kwaye abenzi bomgaqo-nkqubo base China banyanzela i-Islamabad ukuba isebenzise i-yuan kurhwebo lwamazwe amabini. Kwelakhe icala, iWashington ibigxeka kakhulu i-CPEC kwaye ityholwa ngokuba ixhase i-India-utshaba olukhulu lwasePakistan -kwenzakalisa eli nyathelo. Ukuzimisela ukuphakama kwezoqoqosho kuphakamisa ithemba lemfazwe yemali phakathi kwamazwe amabini anoqoqosho olukhulu.

Ngokuphathelene noku, umgqatswa uDonald Trump wayigxeka esidlangalaleni i-China ngexesha lomkhankaso wobongameli wase-US e-2016 "njengesixhobo sobuqhetseba" esasi "rap [ing]" iMelika kodwa sabuya umva izityholo ukusukela ngokuthatha i-ofisi. I-Beijing ngaphambili ibikrokrelwa ngokuthenga kunye nokuthengisa iimali zamanye amazwe ukuze yehlise ixabiso le-yuan, ngokuthe ngqo kwi-dollar ukuze ifumane izibonelelo zorhwebo ezingalunganga ngokugcina ukuthunyelwa kwayo kwamanye amazwe kungabizi.

Njengolungiso, abavelisi baseMelika bakhalaze ngelithi isenzo esichaziweyo sichaphazele kakubi amashishini abo ngokunyusa ixabiso leemveliso zabo. Izazi ngezoqoqosho zithi oku kukhokelele kukungalingani kuqoqosho lwehlabathi ngokufaka igalelo kwintsalela enkulu yorhwebo lwaseTshayina kunye nokusilela kurhwebo lwaseMelika.

Kodwa i-China ibonakala ingashukumi ngokugxekwa kwaye izinikele ekuqhubekeni ne-ajenda yayo.

Kwangoko kule nyanga, Umphathiswa Wezokucwangciswa, uPhuhliso kunye neNgaphakathi ePakistan, u-Ahsan Iqbal, uqinisekisile ukuba i-yuan ithathelwa ingqalelo kusetyenziso oluphambili lwentengiselwano phantsi kwe-CPEC. "Iingcali zamacala omabini zizakuphonononga [ukubanakho] ukusebenzisa imali yamaTshayina ukwenza urhwebo lwamazwe amabini njengoko izokunceda iPakistan ekunciphiseni ukuxhomekeka kwayo kwidola yaseMelika," uxelele oonondaba emva kokutyhila oko kubizwa ngokuba sisiCwangciso seXesha elide. ifuna i-China ukuba ityale imali eyi-60 yezigidigidi ePakistan ngowama-2030.

U-Iqbal uxelele I-Media Line ukuba iiprojekthi ezongezelelweyo ezixabisa i-46 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi ezinxulumene ne-CPEC nazo zisayiniwe, phantse isiqingatha sayo siqalisiwe.

Kwelakhe icala, uMohammad Ali, igosa eliphezulu lasePakistan, ucebise ukuba isigqibo sokusebenzisa i-yuan sisiphumo esifanelekileyo. Uxelele I-Media Line "kwinqanaba likarhulumente, omabini amacala akhethe ukusebenzisa imali yase China kwimicimbi yorhwebo, ukusayinwa kwemali mboleko kunye nokuhlawulwa kwayo, ukubuyiselwa kwenzuzo kunye nezinye iinjongo."

I-CPEC iya kuthi, phakathi kwezinye izinto, ibonelele imimandla yasentshona yamaTshayina ngendlela yokungena kwizibuko lolwandle olunzulu eGwadar, ikhusele iBeijing indlela emfutshane kakhulu edlula ePakistan ekungenisa ngayo iimveliso zepetroli nezokuthumela ngaphandle kwiimarike zaseAsia, eYurophu naseAfrika. I-Pakistan iya kuthi ubukhulu becala izuze kutyalo-mali olukhulu lweziseko zophuhliso kunye nakwingeniso eveliswe yimisebenzi yesango.

Urhwebo phakathi kwamazwe amabini phakathi kwePakistan ne China belimi malunga ne-14 yezigidi zeedola kwiminyaka ye-2015 kunye ne-2016 kwaye amagosa alindele ukuba umthamo unyuke ngokubonakalayo njengoko i-CPEC iqhubeka.

Ehlabathini lonke, i-China kula maxesha akutshanje iphumelele amanqanaba amaninzi ajolise ekukhuthazeni imali yayo, kubandakanya nokusekwa kwesivumelwano sokutshintsha kwi-2013-eyathi yandiswa emva kweminyaka emithathu-phakathi kwe-European Central Bank kunye ne-People's Bank yase China. Isivumelwano sijolise ekwenzeni lula ukutshintshiselana kwezorhwebo phakathi kwe-Eurozone ne China ngokunika iibhanki zaseYurophu ukufikelela kwi-yuan ye-350 yezigidigidi kunye neebhanki zase-China ukufikelela kwi-45 yezigidigidi zeerandi.

Isivumelwano silandele izivumelwano ezifanayo ne-United Kingdom, Australia ne-Brazil.

I-China lelona qabane lesibini likhulu lezorhwebo kwi-EU, malunga ne-1 yezigidigidi zexabiso lempahla etshintshisanayo suku ngalunye. Oku kubeke i-yuan kwindlela ekhawulezayo yokutshintsha i-dollar yaseMelika njengemali ethandwa yi-bloc.

Ngapha koko, kuba imali yase China inxulunyaniswe nomgangatho wegolide, amazwe amakhulu ayijonga njengengazinzanga kangako kune greenback. Kule meko, kule minyaka mibini idlulileyo amazwe asixhenxe ongezelelweyo kuluhlu lwamashumi amahlanu abanye abasebenzisa i-yuan ukuhlawulela ngaphezulu kwe-10% yokuthengwa kwabo e-China okanye eHong Kong.

Ngokuka-Carl Weinberg, isazi ngezoqoqosho esikhokelayo, iGrail eNgcwele yaseBeijing kufuneka "inyanzelise" iSaudi Arabia ukuba ithengise ioyile yayo kwi-yuan. "U-Riyadh kufuneka ayiqwalasele le nto kuba nokuba kungunyaka omnye okanye emibini ukusukela ngoku, ibango lase-China liza kuyinciphisa ibango lase-US, utshilo. Ukuba oku kuyenzeka, intengiso yeoyile eseleyo iya kulandelwa ngokufanelekileyo, iphelise ngokufanelekileyo imeko yedola yaseMelika njengemali yokugcina umhlaba.

Ngokwezinye iingxelo, ibhanki ephambili yase China ine-5 yezigidi zeedola zaseMelika, ezinokuthi zitshintshwe zibe yuan. Kwaye ngokutshintshiselana kwamazwe amabini kusenziwa njengoko i-China iqhubela phambili kwindlela yenkululeko yentengiso, umnqweno wehlabathi we-yuan kulindeleke ukuba ukhule.

SOURCE: IMEDIALINE.org

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Malunga nombhali

UJuergen T Steinmetz

UJuergen Thomas Steinmetz uqhubekile esebenza kwishishini lokuhamba nokhenketho okoko wafikisa eJamani (1977).
Uye waseka eTurboNews ngo-1999 njengephepha leendaba lokuqala kwi-intanethi kushishino lokhenketho lwehlabathi.

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