- Kwi-2021 amanani abakhweli ehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba abuyele kwi-52% yamanqanaba angaphambi kwe-COVID-19
- Ngo-2023 amanani abakhweli behlabathi kulindeleke ukuba agqithe amanqanaba angaphambi kwe-COVID-19
- Ngo-2030 kulindeleke ukuba inani labakhweli kwihlabathi liphela likhule liye kwi-5.6 yezigidigidi
The Umbutho wamazwe ngamazwe oThutho loMoya (IATAkunye nezoQoqosho kwezoKhenketho zikhuphe umbono wexesha elide wokubuyiselwa kwabahambi ngenqanawa emva kwe-COVID-19 nto leyo ebonisa ukuba abantu bahlala bezimisele ukuhamba ixesha elifutshane nelide. Ukuqinisekisa ukuba ukubhabha ngenqwelomoya kunganikezela ngokuzinzileyo izibonelelo zentlalo nezoqoqosho njengoko ihlangabezana nale mfuno yexesha elide, kubalulekile ukuba oorhulumente bonyuse inkxaso yabo yokusebenza ngokukuko kunye nokukhuthaza utshintsho olunamandla.
Amagqabantshintshi e-Forecast abandakanya
- Kwi-2021 amanani abakhweli ehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba abuyele kwi-52% yamanqanaba angaphambi kwe-COVID-19 (2019)
- Kwi-2022 amanani abakhweli ehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba abuyele kwi-88% yamanqanaba angaphambi kwe-COVID-19
- Kwi-2023 amanani abakhweli ehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba agqithe amanqanaba angaphambi kwe-COVID-19 (105%)
- Ngo-2030 kulindeleke ukuba inani labakhweli kwihlabathi liphela likhule liye kwi-5.6 yezigidigidi. Oko kunokuba yi-7% ngaphantsi kwengqikelelo ye-COVID-19 kunye nelahleko eqikelelweyo ye-2-3 iminyaka yokukhula ngenxa ye-COVID-19
- Ngaphandle kowe-2030 uhambo lomoya kulindeleke ukuba lucothe, ngenxa yedemokhrasi ebuthathaka kunye nengqikelelo esisiseko yenkululeko yentengiso, ukunika ukukhula okuphakathi konyaka phakathi ko-2019 kunye no-2039 ka-3.2%. Uqikelelo lwe-IATA lwangaphambi kwe-COVID-19 lokukhula kweli xesha yayiyi-3.8%
Ukubuyiselwa kwamanani abakhweli komelele kancinci kunokubuyiselwa kwimfuno kulinganiswa kwiikhilomitha zabahambi zerhafu (RPKs), ekulindeleke ukuba ikhule nge-avareji yonyaka ye-3% phakathi kuka-2019 no-2039. Oku kungenxa yamandla alindelekileyo eemarike zasekhaya ezinje I-China enamanani amakhulu abakhweli kunye nemigama emifutshane.
Ndihlala ndinethemba lokuhamba ngenqwelomoya. Sikwingxaki enzulu nembandezelo enkulu kwimbali yethu. Kodwa abantu abagonyiweyo abakhula ngokukhawuleza kunye nokuhambela phambili kuvavanyo kuya kubuyisa inkululeko yokubhabha kwiinyanga ezizayo. Kwaye xa oko kusenzeka, abantu baya kufuna ukuhamba. Umceli mngeni okhawulezileyo kukuvula imida kwakhona, ukuphelisa ukuvalelwa kunye nokulawulwa kwamanani kwizatifikethi zokugonya / zokuvavanya. Kwangelo xesha, kufuneka siqinisekise ilizwe ukuba ukukhula kweenqwelomoya ukukhula kwexesha elide kuyaxhaswa ngokuzinikela okungagungqiyo kuzinzo. Yomibini le mingeni ifuna oorhulumente kunye nomzi mveliso ukuba basebenze ngentsebenziswano. I-Aviation ilungile. Kodwa andiboni oorhulumente behamba ngokukhawuleza ngokwaneleyo, utshilo uWillie Walsh, IATAUMlawuli-Jikelele.
INTO ONOKUYITHATHA KWELI NQAKU:
- In 2021 global passenger numbers are expected to recover to 52% of pre-COVID-19 levels (2019)In 2022 global passenger numbers are expected to recover to 88% of pre-COVID-19 levelsIn 2023 global passenger numbers are expected to surpass pre-COVID-19 levels (105%)By 2030 global passenger numbers are expected to have grown to 5.
- That would be 7% below the pre-COVID-19 forecast and an estimated loss of 2-3 years of growth due to COVID-19Beyond 2030 air travel is expected to slow, due to weaker demographics and a baseline assumption of limited market liberalization, giving average annual growth between 2019 and 2039 of 3.
- The recovery in passenger numbers is slightly stronger than the recovery in demand measured in revenue passenger kilometers (RPKs), which is expected to grow by an annual average of 3% between 2019 and 2039.
