UDisemba 2017 wabona ukukhula konyaka-ngaphezulu (i-YoY) kwe-4.5% kumthamo womoya wehlabathi. Abona baxhasi baphambili babeyimimandla yemvelaphi yeAsia Pacific (+ 8%) kunye neMntla Melika (+ 5.1%). Ukukhula kweYurophu kwakuyi-2.2% kuphela, ngelixa imithwalo yomoya evela e-Afrika ifumene i-7.5%. I-MESA (Mbindi Mpuma kunye noMazantsi eAsia) kunye noMbindi kunye noMzantsi Melika zibone ukonyuka kwamanyathelo ngomndilili wehlabathi. YiYurophu ekhule kakhulu njengendawo ekuyiwa kuyo (+ 6.8%). Uphuhliso lwesivuno, nangona kunjalo, lwatsala uninzi lwengqwalaselo: isivuno selizwi liphela sanyuka nge-10% yeYO, kulinganiswa nge-EUR, nangokubetha okungama-23.5% (!) Kwi-USD. Xa kuthelekiswa no-Novemba, i-USD-isivuno sikhuphuke nge-2.5%, enye into ephawuleka, njengoko izivuno zihlala zehla phakathi kukaNovemba noDisemba.
Kwikota ye-4 iyonke, ukukhula kwe-YoY yevolthi yayiyi-6.6%, inomdla ekukhanyeni kwento yokuba imithwalo yomoya - emva kweminyaka yokusebenza kakubi - yaqala ukukhula kwakhona ukusukela ngoSeptemba 2016. Ewe kunjalo, le nto iyenze ngakumbi 'kubenzima' kushishino ukurekhoda amanani akhulileyo omthamo onyakeni-kunyaka wokugqibela kwinxalenye yokugqibela ka-2017. Nangona kunjalo, obo bunzima abuzange bume endleleni yokukhula ngeniso kweenqwelomoya kwi-Q4, njengoko isivuno kwi-USD saqala ikhula ngeepesenti ezinamanani aphindwe kabini ngokuchanekileyo ukusukela ngeyoMsintsi ka-2017… Ukunqongophala kwamandla kwinani leemarike, ukuhla kwezinga lokutshintshiselana kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso eoyile konke kube nendima ekufuneka kuyidlalile ekukhuleni kwengeniso yenqwelomoya yenqwelomoya engaphezulu kwama-25% kwikota yokugqibela zonyaka ophetheke ngokwenene wemithwalo yomoya.
Singabiza ngokukhuselekileyo u-2017 unyaka wenyani wokwenyani. Iirekhodi ezininzi zaphukile, kwaye uninzi lweempawu zazimi luhlaza phantse unyaka wonke. Nangona kunjalo, unyaka wawungahlukanga kweminye iminyaka ngengqondo yokuba u-2017 naye wayeyazi abaphumeleleyo nabaphumeleleyo: imvelaphi kunye neendawo zokufikela, amacandelo kunye neenkampani ezikhuleyo, ezinye zisale ngasemva. Nalu uluhlu lwethu oluphezulu lokujonga ngokubanzi.
Ngelixa imithwalo ngokubanzi inyuke nge-10.5%, iimveliso ezithile zemithwalo zikhule nge-7.4%, zisenza ukukhula komthamo ngokubanzi we-9.6% (10.8% kwi-DTK). Ukuphuculwa kwesivuno (kwi-USD) kwakukukhulu kwimithwalo ngokubanzi (+ 9.4% vs + 5.9%). Iindidi ngokukhula okuphezulu kwevolumu yayiziZisulu kunye neTekhnoloji ePhakamileyo, amayeza kunye neentyatyambo, zibonisa ukukhula kwe-USD-8%, 5.4% kunye ne1% ngokwahlukeneyo.
Abahambisi abaphambili be-20 kwihlabathi bahlala iklabhu ekhethekileyo, bengavumeli amalungu amatsha ukuba azibandakanye nabo: ukukhula kwabo kwakuhambelana nokukhula kweemarike ngokubanzi, nangona i-Top-5 (i-DHL Global Forwarding, Kuehe + Nagel, DB Schenker, Expeditors I-Int'l kunye nePanalpina) njengeqela labashiya oogxa babo ngevolumu (+ 16% vs + 14%). I-GSA iqhube kakuhle kwiAsia Pacific (+ 15% yokukhula kwevolumu), iYurophu (+ 12%) kunye neMESA (+ 11%).
Kwizixeko ezikhulu ezingama-50 ezinkulu, ezine zirekhodile ukukhula okungaphezulu kwama-20%: IHanoi (ekhokelela ngama-25.5%), eBrussels, eColombo naseHo Chi Minh City. I-Hong Kong yahlala iyimvelaphi yethu ye-Nr 1, ikhula nge-16%. Kwimvelaphi ephezulu ye-10, iAmsterdam kunye neLos Angeles zezona zibonisa ukukhula kancinci kancinci kunomyinge wehlabathi. Phakathi kwezona ndawo zinkulu, iDoha (ekhokela nge-42%), iShanghai, iOsaka, iHanoi, iSixeko saseMexico, iChennai kunye neCampinas zonke zikhulise imiqulu yazo engenayo ngaphezulu kwama-20%.
Izabelo zeshishini lilonke kumaqela eenqwelo moya zihleli zizinzile ngokufanelekileyo. Ngaphandle? Iinqwelo-moya ezivela e-Afrika: ngelixa ishishini elivela kwingingqi yabo lisilele ngasemva, ukukhula kwabo ngokubanzi bekuphakeme kakhulu kunoko kukhula kufunyanwa ngamanye amaqela. Iinqwelomoya ezizinze eAsia Pacific zikhule kancinane ngaphezulu komndilili kwi-2017, ngelixa iinqwelomoya zizinze eYurophu, eMelika naseMESA zisale ngasemva, nangona zincinci nje, ngaloo ndlela zinikezela ngenxalenye encinci yesabelo sazo sonke sepayi.
Ngeendlela ezintle eziqhubekayo kunyaka ophelileyo, owona mbuzo mkhulu kukuba iya kuqhubeka ixesha elingakanani le nto. Njengokuba kuchaziwe uMark Twain, kunzima ukwenza uqikelelo, ngakumbi ngekamva…
